TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040109
Played Aug 29Finished
Daniel Morawiec
Home
2.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111183111618––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:35 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
4111183111618––
H2H Daniel Morawiec 2–4 Kacper Slawinski Daniel Morawiec has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:35What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Morawiec 1409 vs Slawinski 1507
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Morawiec 80% vs Slawinski 40%
Morawiec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Morawiec 80% vs Slawinski 40%
Morawiec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Morawiec +3 · Slawinski -1
Morawiec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMorawiec 2.85 / Slawinski 1.38
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13040109
Morawiec2.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 26 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Slawinski1.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 68 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it82% 50 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMorawiec2wins
AwaySlawinski4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSlawinski leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMorawiecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Morawiec1Slawinski5n = 6Slawinski took 5 of 6
S2Morawiec4Slawinski2n = 6Morawiec took 4 of 6
S3Morawiec2Slawinski4n = 6Slawinski took 4 of 6
S4Morawiec1Slawinski3n = 4Slawinski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricMorawiecSlawinskiM − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match38.845.7−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorawiecSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 478 vs 616 / 99756.5%61.8%270 / 478 vs 616 / 997Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiMorawiec 2.85/Slawinski 1.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.4%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 29 · 13:10D. Morawiec—3960K. Slawinski—1111113
LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec—4113161K. Slawinski—11811183
LOct 4 · 15:50D. Morawiec—79170K. Slawinski—1111193
WOct 4 · 14:35D. Morawiec—71211123K. Slawinski—11109101
WJan 6 · 16:05D. Morawiec—1511125143K. Slawinski—1381411122
LJan 6 · 10:05D. Morawiec—91115862K. Slawinski—1181311113
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101
K. Slawinski10
WSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113LSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102WSep 10 · 11:25R. Idaczyk2.6312850K. Slawinski1.441411113WSep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek2.757590K. Slawinski1.401111113LSep 10 · 09:00L. Oracz2.101111153K. Slawinski1.6748130WSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113WSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63811461K. Slawinski1.4411611113LSep 10 · 05:30R. Idaczyk2.75611116133K. Slawinski1.40117911112LSep 10 · 04:20L. Oracz2.0012815113K. Slawinski1.7310111391WAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960
Upcoming Matches
D. Morawiec1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
K. Slawinski
Nothing scheduled
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