TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116482
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Morawiec
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111181210––
Filip Witczak
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1178111181210––
H2H Daniel Morawiec 71–53 Filip Witczak Filip Witczak has won 53 of their 124 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Witczak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-53 in 124
Morawiec
Correct
gap of 18 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Morawiec 1409 vs Witczak 1412
Witczak
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Morawiec 40% vs Witczak 60%
Witczak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Morawiec 40% vs Witczak 60%
Witczak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Morawiec +2 · Witczak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witczak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMorawiec 1.86 / Witczak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Witczak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13116482
Morawiec1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Witczak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 83 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 66 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMorawiec6wins
AwayWitczak4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMorawiec leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMorawiec100%5 of 5
AwayWitczak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Morawiec5Witczak5n = 10split evenly
S2Morawiec8Witczak2n = 10Morawiec took 8 of 10
S3Morawiec5Witczak5n = 10split evenly
S4Morawiec1Witczak4n = 5Witczak took 4 of 5
S5Morawiec2Witczak1n = 3Morawiec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMorawiecWitczakM − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.533.1+3.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorawiecWitczakBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 468 vs 272 / 48056.2%56.7%263 / 468 vs 272 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakMorawiec 1.86/Witczak 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Morawiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 11:30D. Morawiec—109120F. Witczak—1211143
WAug 29 · 06:20D. Morawiec—1111113F. Witczak—8970
WAug 22 · 15:05D. Morawiec—711117113F. Witczak—11561182
WAug 22 · 09:05D. Morawiec—1111113F. Witczak—6960
WAug 15 · 14:20D. Morawiec—1111113F. Witczak—3830
WAug 15 · 06:20D. Morawiec—111110123F. Witczak—3912101
LJul 18 · 16:20D. Morawiec—811281F. Witczak—11511113
WJul 18 · 06:45D. Morawiec—111298113F. Witczak—610111162
LJul 11 · 12:45D. Morawiec—5290F. Witczak—1111113
LJul 11 · 10:20D. Morawiec—111111692F. Witczak—136411113
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
F. Witczak10
WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113WAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101WAug 29 · 07:10F. Witczak1.371211113R. Adach2.7510970
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