TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118282
Played Sep 12Finished
Marcin Lach
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119118911911911
Filip Witczak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
119118911911911
H2H Marcin Lach 1–0 Filip Witczak Filip Witczak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Witczak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lach 1417 vs Witczak 1400
Lach
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 60% vs Witczak 40%
Lach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 60% vs Witczak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach -2 · Witczak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witczak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witczak form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.90 / Witczak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Witczak)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13118282
Lach1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 19 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Witczak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 83 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 66 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLach1wins
AwayWitczak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLachWitczakL − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.045.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachWitczakBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 217 vs 263 / 47162.7%55.8%136 / 217 vs 263 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakLach 1.90/Witczak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 4 · 05:55M. Lach—117118113F. Witczak—81161192
M. Lach10
LSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101WSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113
F. Witczak10
LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113WAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101WAug 29 · 07:10F. Witczak1.371211113R. Adach2.7510970
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