TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116474
Played Sep 12Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119118––––
Marcin Lach
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
119119118––––
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 11–12 Marcin Lach Jacek Wieczerzak has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Lach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-12 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1458 vs Lach 1405
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Lach 60%
Lach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 30% vs Lach 60%
Lach
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak +1 · Lach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.95 / Lach 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lach)+0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13116474
Wieczerzak1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 42 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Lach1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 114 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWieczerzak5wins
AwayLach5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzak66.7%4 of 6
AwayLach75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak6Lach4n = 10Wieczerzak took 6 of 10
S2Wieczerzak4Lach6n = 10Lach took 6 of 10
S3Wieczerzak6Lach4n = 10Wieczerzak took 6 of 10
S4Wieczerzak3Lach2n = 5Wieczerzak took 3 of 5
S5Wieczerzak1Lach2n = 3Lach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWieczerzakLachW − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.134.6+0.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakLachBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 255 vs 136 / 21853.3%62.4%136 / 255 vs 136 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachWieczerzak 1.95/Lach 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak—1111113M. Lach—9980
LAug 30 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak—13681182M. Lach—1111115113
LAug 30 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak—71080M. Lach—1112113
WAug 29 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak—1111113M. Lach—8620
WAug 29 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak—1111113M. Lach—4880
LAug 23 · 12:40J. Wieczerzak—9820M. Lach—1111113
WAug 23 · 06:30J. Wieczerzak—11411113M. Lach—611581
WAug 22 · 12:40J. Wieczerzak—813911113M. Lach—111111662
LAug 22 · 06:30J. Wieczerzak—931171M. Lach—11117113
LAug 10 · 09:50J. Wieczerzak—11913642M. Lach—9111111113
J. Wieczerzak10
LSep 12 · 07:30J. Wieczerzak1.9971050W. Wojtaszczyk1.681112113WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133
M. Lach10
LSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101WSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113
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