TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040112
Played Aug 29Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119117––––
Rafal Adach
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1210119117––––
H2H Filip Witczak 6–0 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Witczak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Witczak
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1412 vs Adach 1198
Witczak
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 40% vs Adach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 60% vs Adach 40%
Witczak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak -2 · Adach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Witczak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witczak form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 1.37 / Adach 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Witczak)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13040112
Witczak1.37
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 90 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it73% 69 of 94
Adach2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 84 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeWitczak6wins
AwayAdach0wins
1 of 6 to a deciderWitczak leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitczak100%6 of 6
AwayAdachn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak6Adach0n = 6Witczak took 6 of 6
S2Witczak3Adach3n = 6split evenly
S3Witczak6Adach0n = 6Witczak took 6 of 6
S4Witczak2Adach1n = 3Witczak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricWitczakAdachW − ABasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match38.826.2+12.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 490 vs 227 / 54656.7%41.6%278 / 490 vs 227 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.434.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakWitczak 1.37/Adach 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.1%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak—1111113R. Adach—5750
WAug 29 · 07:10F. Witczak—1211113R. Adach—10970
WAug 16 · 14:20F. Witczak—11911113R. Adach—411751
WAug 16 · 06:20F. Witczak—11711113R. Adach—911171
WFeb 14 · 12:55F. Witczak—119119113R. Adach—31151172
WFeb 14 · 06:55F. Witczak—1111113R. Adach—7960
F. Witczak10
WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113WAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750
Upcoming Matches
F. Witczak
Sep 12 · 07:55F. Witczak1.92M. Oracz1.73—Sep 12 · 09:55F. Witczak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.71—Sep 12 · 10:40F. Witczak1.86J. Wieczerzak1.83—Sep 12 · 11:30F. Witczak1.95M. Lach1.74—Sep 12 · 13:10F. Witczak—D. Morawiec——Sep 12 · 13:55F. Witczak—M. Oracz——Sep 12 · 15:55F. Witczak—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 16:40F. Witczak—J. Wieczerzak——
R. Adach
Nothing scheduled
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