TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13041049
Played Aug 29Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119411117711
Patryk Jedrzejak
Away
1.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
711119411117711
H2H Filip Witczak 31–46 Patryk Jedrzejak Filip Witczak has won 31 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-46 in 77
Jedrzejak
Correct
gap of 15 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1406 vs Jedrzejak 1517
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 80% vs Jedrzejak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 60% vs Jedrzejak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak +1 · Jedrzejak +4
Jedrzejak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witczak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 2.75 / Jedrzejak 1.38
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13041049
Witczak2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Jedrzejak1.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 158 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it86% 119 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitczak1wins
AwayJedrzejak9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJedrzejak leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitczakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJedrzejak88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak1Jedrzejak9n = 10Jedrzejak took 9 of 10
S2Witczak2Jedrzejak8n = 10Jedrzejak took 8 of 10
S3Witczak2Jedrzejak8n = 10Jedrzejak took 8 of 10
S4Witczak2Jedrzejak3n = 5Jedrzejak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitczakJedrzejakW − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.240.0−10.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakJedrzejakBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 486 vs 354 / 52456.8%67.6%276 / 486 vs 354 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakWitczak 2.75/Jedrzejak 1.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.8%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 10:20F. Witczak—5990P. Jedrzejak—1111113
LAug 23 · 16:20F. Witczak—13740P. Jedrzejak—1511113
LAug 23 · 08:20F. Witczak—134581P. Jedrzejak—111111113
LAug 22 · 12:20F. Witczak—71181122P. Jedrzejak—116119113
LAug 22 · 08:20F. Witczak—5712121P. Jedrzejak—111110143
LAug 16 · 15:30F. Witczak—981151P. Jedrzejak—11119113
LAug 16 · 09:30F. Witczak—5850P. Jedrzejak—1111113
LAug 15 · 12:45F. Witczak—9550P. Jedrzejak—1111113
WAug 15 · 10:20F. Witczak—7111111113P. Jedrzejak—11813992
LJul 11 · 16:20F. Witczak—51040P. Jedrzejak—1112113
F. Witczak10
LSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113WAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990
Upcoming Matches
F. Witczak1 of 7 neutral
P. Jedrzejak
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