TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118277
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11713111614––––
Filip Witczak
Away
1.92
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
11713111614––––
H2H Michal Oracz 27–25 Filip Witczak Filip Witczak has won 25 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-25 in 52
Oracz
Correct
gap of 2 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1422 vs Witczak 1411
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 20% vs Witczak 60%
Witczak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 50% vs Witczak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -2 · Witczak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.73 / Witczak 1.92
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oracz)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13118277
Oracz1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Witczak1.92
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 28 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz5wins
AwayWitczak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz80%4 of 5
AwayWitczak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Witczak5n = 10split evenly
S2Oracz4Witczak6n = 10Witczak took 6 of 10
S3Oracz3Witczak7n = 10Witczak took 7 of 10
S4Oracz5Witczak2n = 7Oracz took 5 of 7
S5Oracz2Witczak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczWitczakO − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.0+1.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczWitczakBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 515 vs 264 / 47261.9%55.9%319 / 515 vs 264 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.73/Witczak 1.92
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 14:20M. Oracz—111011113F. Witczak—512541
LAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz—13640F. Witczak—1511113
WAug 23 · 13:55M. Oracz—111011113F. Witczak—912661
LAug 23 · 10:40M. Oracz—511811112F. Witczak—119118133
LAug 15 · 15:30M. Oracz—7480F. Witczak—1111113
LAug 15 · 09:30M. Oracz—9990F. Witczak—1111113
LMay 9 · 13:55M. Oracz—1181011112F. Witczak—711126133
WMay 9 · 10:20M. Oracz—11117143F. Witczak—4511121
WApr 25 · 15:05M. Oracz—611116113F. Witczak—11761172
WApr 25 · 09:05M. Oracz—1111813113F. Witczak—53111592
M. Oracz10
LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760
F. Witczak10
WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113WAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz3 of 7 neutral
F. Witczak1 of 7 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.