TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040477
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.66
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315611411––––
Filip Witczak
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1315611411––––
H2H Michal Oracz 26–24 Filip Witczak Filip Witczak has won 24 of their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-24 in 50
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1494 vs Witczak 1383
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 80% vs Witczak 60%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Witczak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +4 · Witczak +2
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witczak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.66 / Witczak 2.05
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Oracz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13040477
Oracz1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 112 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it78% 90 of 115
Witczak2.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz5wins
AwayWitczak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz80%4 of 5
AwayWitczak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Witczak5n = 10split evenly
S2Oracz6Witczak4n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Oracz3Witczak7n = 10Witczak took 7 of 10
S4Oracz4Witczak3n = 7Oracz took 4 of 7
S5Oracz2Witczak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczWitczakO − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.3+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczWitczakBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 506 vs 274 / 48362.3%56.7%315 / 506 vs 274 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.66/Witczak 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 13:55M. Oracz—111011113F. Witczak—912661
LAug 23 · 10:40M. Oracz—511811112F. Witczak—119118133
LAug 15 · 15:30M. Oracz—7480F. Witczak—1111113
LAug 15 · 09:30M. Oracz—9990F. Witczak—1111113
LMay 9 · 13:55M. Oracz—1181011112F. Witczak—711126133
WMay 9 · 10:20M. Oracz—11117143F. Witczak—4511121
WApr 25 · 15:05M. Oracz—611116113F. Witczak—11761172
WApr 25 · 09:05M. Oracz—1111813113F. Witczak—53111592
WMar 14 · 13:45M. Oracz—1111113F. Witczak—8890
LMar 14 · 11:20M. Oracz—811961F. Witczak—11811113
M. Oracz10
LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760
F. Witczak10
WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113WAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101WAug 29 · 07:10F. Witczak1.371211113R. Adach2.7510970
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz
Sep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.73F. Witczak1.92—Sep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.80J. Wieczerzak1.90—Sep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.86M. Lach1.80—Sep 12 · 11:55M. Oracz1.90W. Wojtaszczyk1.76—Sep 12 · 12:45M. Oracz—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz—J. Wieczerzak——Sep 12 · 16:20M. Oracz—D. Morawiec——
F. Witczak
Sep 12 · 07:55F. Witczak1.92M. Oracz1.73—Sep 12 · 09:55F. Witczak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.71—Sep 12 · 10:40F. Witczak1.86J. Wieczerzak1.83—Sep 12 · 11:30F. Witczak1.95M. Lach1.74—Sep 12 · 13:10F. Witczak—D. Morawiec——Sep 12 · 13:55F. Witczak—M. Oracz——Sep 12 · 15:55F. Witczak—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 16:40F. Witczak—J. Wieczerzak——
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