TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116470
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Morawiec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012117119––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1191012117119––
H2H Daniel Morawiec 29–24 Michal Oracz Michal Oracz has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:23What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-24 in 53
Morawiec
Correct
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Morawiec 1434 vs Oracz 1422
Morawiec
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Morawiec 60% vs Oracz 40%
Morawiec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Morawiec 40% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Morawiec +3 · Oracz -1
Morawiec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMorawiec 2.00 / Oracz 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oracz)-0.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13116470
Morawiec2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Oracz1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMorawiec4wins
AwayOracz6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMorawiec50%3 of 6
AwayOracz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Morawiec6Oracz4n = 10Morawiec took 6 of 10
S2Morawiec3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Morawiec5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S4Morawiec3Oracz4n = 7Oracz took 4 of 7
S5Morawiec1Oracz2n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMorawiecOraczM − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.441.3−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorawiecOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 470 vs 319 / 51556.4%61.9%265 / 470 vs 319 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczMorawiec 2.00/Oracz 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Morawiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec—111011113M. Oracz—912791
WAug 29 · 16:40D. Morawiec—1111113M. Oracz—4560
LAug 29 · 08:20D. Morawiec—11116101M. Oracz—81311123
LAug 15 · 12:20D. Morawiec—98100M. Oracz—1111123
LAug 15 · 08:20D. Morawiec—111072272M. Oracz—9121120113
LJun 6 · 12:20D. Morawiec—11713452M. Oracz—8111111113
WJun 6 · 08:20D. Morawiec—1011119123M. Oracz—127611102
WMay 9 · 15:05D. Morawiec—11811123M. Oracz—9119101
LMay 9 · 09:05D. Morawiec—71970M. Oracz—1121113
LApr 25 · 12:45D. Morawiec—511571M. Oracz—11711113
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
M. Oracz10
WSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133LAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101
Upcoming Matches
D. Morawiec1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
M. Oracz3 of 7 neutral
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