TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040858
Played Aug 29Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
1.87
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101191412––––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
12101191412––––
H2H Filip Witczak 52–71 Daniel Morawiec Filip Witczak has won 52 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Morawiec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-71 in 123
Morawiec
Wrong
gap of 19 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1391 vs Morawiec 1416
Morawiec
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 60% vs Morawiec 40%
Witczak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 60% vs Morawiec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak -1 · Morawiec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witczak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 1.87 / Morawiec 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Morawiec)-4.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13040858
Witczak1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Morawiec1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 100 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 67 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitczak3wins
AwayMorawiec7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMorawiec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitczak60%3 of 5
AwayMorawiec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S2Witczak2Morawiec8n = 10Morawiec took 8 of 10
S3Witczak4Morawiec6n = 10Morawiec took 6 of 10
S4Witczak4Morawiec2n = 6Witczak took 4 of 6
S5Witczak1Morawiec3n = 4Morawiec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitczakMorawiecW − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.037.9−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 485 vs 268 / 47356.7%56.7%275 / 485 vs 268 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakWitczak 1.87/Morawiec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 06:20F. Witczak—8970D. Morawiec—1111113
LAug 22 · 15:05F. Witczak—11561182D. Morawiec—711117113
LAug 22 · 09:05F. Witczak—6960D. Morawiec—1111113
LAug 15 · 14:20F. Witczak—3830D. Morawiec—1111113
LAug 15 · 06:20F. Witczak—3912101D. Morawiec—111110123
WJul 18 · 16:20F. Witczak—11511113D. Morawiec—811281
LJul 18 · 06:45F. Witczak—610111162D. Morawiec—111298113
WJul 11 · 12:45F. Witczak—1111113D. Morawiec—5290
WJul 11 · 10:20F. Witczak—136411113D. Morawiec—111111692
LJul 4 · 16:20F. Witczak—11117982D. Morawiec—571111113
F. Witczak10
LSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
Upcoming Matches
F. Witczak1 of 7 neutral
D. Morawiec1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
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