TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13041708
Played Aug 29Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111210511411––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
5111210511411––
H2H Filip Witczak 25–26 Michal Oracz Filip Witczak has won 25 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Witczak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-26 in 51
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1406 vs Oracz 1431
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 80% vs Oracz 20%
Witczak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 60% vs Oracz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak +1 · Oracz -4
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witczak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 1.83 / Oracz 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Witczak)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13041708
Witczak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it86% 44 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it73% 67 of 92
Oracz1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog63% won 22 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back36% 5 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitczak5wins
AwayOracz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitczak80%4 of 5
AwayOracz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S2Witczak5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S3Witczak7Oracz3n = 10Witczak took 7 of 10
S4Witczak2Oracz4n = 6Oracz took 4 of 6
S5Witczak2Oracz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitczakOraczW − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.4−0.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 486 vs 315 / 51056.8%61.8%276 / 486 vs 315 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakWitczak 1.83/Oracz 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 09:30F. Witczak—1511113M. Oracz—13640
LAug 23 · 13:55F. Witczak—912661M. Oracz—111011113
WAug 23 · 10:40F. Witczak—119118133M. Oracz—511811112
WAug 15 · 15:30F. Witczak—1111113M. Oracz—7480
WAug 15 · 09:30F. Witczak—1111113M. Oracz—9990
WMay 9 · 13:55F. Witczak—711126133M. Oracz—1181011112
LMay 9 · 10:20F. Witczak—4511121M. Oracz—11117143
LApr 25 · 15:05F. Witczak—11761172M. Oracz—611116113
LApr 25 · 09:05F. Witczak—53111592M. Oracz—1111813113
LMar 14 · 13:45F. Witczak—8890M. Oracz—1111113
F. Witczak10
WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113WAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120LAug 29 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak1.411111113F. Witczak2.605990WAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113WAug 29 · 08:45F. Witczak1.9512914123K. Slawinski1.75101112101WAug 29 · 07:10F. Witczak1.371211113R. Adach2.7510970
M. Oracz10
LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LAug 29 · 09:30M. Oracz1.6613640F. Witczak2.051511113
Upcoming Matches
F. Witczak
Sep 12 · 07:55F. Witczak1.92M. Oracz1.73—Sep 12 · 09:55F. Witczak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.71—Sep 12 · 10:40F. Witczak1.86J. Wieczerzak1.83—Sep 12 · 11:30F. Witczak1.95M. Lach1.74—Sep 12 · 13:10F. Witczak—D. Morawiec——Sep 12 · 13:55F. Witczak—M. Oracz——Sep 12 · 15:55F. Witczak—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 16:40F. Witczak—J. Wieczerzak——
M. Oracz
Sep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.73F. Witczak1.92—Sep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.80J. Wieczerzak1.90—Sep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.86M. Lach1.80—Sep 12 · 11:55M. Oracz1.90W. Wojtaszczyk1.76—Sep 12 · 12:45M. Oracz—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz—J. Wieczerzak——Sep 12 · 16:20M. Oracz—D. Morawiec——
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