TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042194
Played Aug 29Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113411––––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
1.35
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
9111113411––––
H2H Rafal Adach 1–4 Daniel Morawiec Rafal Adach has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Morawiec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Morawiec
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1261 vs Morawiec 1383
Morawiec
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 20% vs Morawiec 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 20% vs Morawiec 40%
Morawiec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -1 · Morawiec -3
Morawiec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Morawiec) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (20%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 2.85 / Morawiec 1.35
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Morawiec)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13042194
Adach2.85
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 82 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back20% 24 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 67
Morawiec1.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 100 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 67 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeAdach1wins
AwayMorawiec4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMorawiec leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMorawiec100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach2Morawiec3n = 5Morawiec took 3 of 5
S2Adach1Morawiec4n = 5Morawiec took 4 of 5
S3Adach3Morawiec2n = 5Adach took 3 of 5
S4Adach1Morawiec3n = 4Morawiec took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricAdachMorawiecA − MBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match32.040.6−8.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 534 vs 268 / 47642.3%56.3%226 / 534 vs 268 / 476Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorawiecAdach 2.85/Morawiec 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Morawiec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Morawiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 29 · 10:40R. Adach—6860D. Morawiec—1111113
LJul 25 · 13:30R. Adach—116581D. Morawiec—91111113
WJul 25 · 07:30R. Adach—12811113D. Morawiec—1011671
LFeb 14 · 15:45R. Adach—61113562D. Morawiec—1181111113
LFeb 14 · 12:05R. Adach—741151D. Morawiec—11119113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
Upcoming Matches
R. Adach
Nothing scheduled
D. Morawiec1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
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