TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040487
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81113111161210––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
81113111161210––
H2H Michal Oracz 23–27 Daniel Morawiec Michal Oracz has won 23 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:39What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Morawiec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-27 in 50
Morawiec
Wrong
gap of 4 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1483 vs Morawiec 1429
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 80% vs Morawiec 60%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Morawiec 80%
Morawiec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +3 · Morawiec -1
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.91 / Morawiec 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oracz)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13040487
Oracz1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog63% won 22 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back36% 5 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Morawiec1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 100 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 67 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz6wins
AwayMorawiec4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz80%4 of 5
AwayMorawiec60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S2Oracz7Morawiec3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Oracz5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S4Oracz3Morawiec3n = 6split evenly
S5Oracz2Morawiec1n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczMorawiecO − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.538.1+2.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 505 vs 267 / 47062.2%56.8%314 / 505 vs 267 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.91/Morawiec 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 12:20M. Oracz—1111123D. Morawiec—98100
WAug 15 · 08:20M. Oracz—9121120113D. Morawiec—111072272
WJun 6 · 12:20M. Oracz—8111111113D. Morawiec—11713452
LJun 6 · 08:20M. Oracz—127611102D. Morawiec—1011119123
LMay 9 · 15:05M. Oracz—9119101D. Morawiec—11811123
WMay 9 · 09:05M. Oracz—1121113D. Morawiec—71970
WApr 25 · 12:45M. Oracz—11711113D. Morawiec—511571
LApr 25 · 10:20M. Oracz—9750D. Morawiec—1111113
WMar 28 · 16:05M. Oracz—1111123D. Morawiec—88100
LMar 28 · 10:05M. Oracz—811591D. Morawiec—11911113
M. Oracz10
WSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz3 of 7 neutral
D. Morawiec1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.