TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13042669
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511611––––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
411511611––––
H2H Michal Oracz 24–27 Daniel Morawiec Michal Oracz has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:32What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Morawiec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-27 in 51
Morawiec
Correct
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1460 vs Morawiec 1392
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 40% vs Morawiec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Morawiec 40%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +2 · Morawiec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.95 / Morawiec 1.76
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oracz)+6.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13042669
Oracz1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog63% won 22 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back36% 5 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Morawiec1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 100 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 67 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz7wins
AwayMorawiec3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz80%4 of 5
AwayMorawiec40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S2Oracz7Morawiec3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Oracz6Morawiec4n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Oracz4Morawiec2n = 6Oracz took 4 of 6
S5Oracz2Morawiec1n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczMorawiecO − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.7+3.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 512 vs 269 / 47761.9%56.4%317 / 512 vs 269 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.95/Morawiec 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Morawiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz—81311123D. Morawiec—11116101
WAug 15 · 12:20M. Oracz—1111123D. Morawiec—98100
WAug 15 · 08:20M. Oracz—9121120113D. Morawiec—111072272
WJun 6 · 12:20M. Oracz—8111111113D. Morawiec—11713452
LJun 6 · 08:20M. Oracz—127611102D. Morawiec—1011119123
LMay 9 · 15:05M. Oracz—9119101D. Morawiec—11811123
WMay 9 · 09:05M. Oracz—1121113D. Morawiec—71970
WApr 25 · 12:45M. Oracz—11711113D. Morawiec—511571
LApr 25 · 10:20M. Oracz—9750D. Morawiec—1111113
WMar 28 · 16:05M. Oracz—1111123D. Morawiec—88100
M. Oracz10
WSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz3 of 7 neutral
D. Morawiec
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
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