TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040480
Played Aug 29Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121141513––––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
1121141513––––
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 47–23 Daniel Morawiec Daniel Morawiec has won 23 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-23 in 70
Jedrzejak
Correct
gap of 24 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1490 vs Morawiec 1419
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 60% vs Morawiec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 60% vs Morawiec 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak +1 · Morawiec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.40 / Morawiec 2.65
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13040480
Jedrzejak1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 158 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it86% 119 of 139
Morawiec2.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJedrzejak7wins
AwayMorawiec3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJedrzejak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejak75%3 of 4
AwayMorawiec33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejak4Morawiec6n = 10Morawiec took 6 of 10
S2Jedrzejak8Morawiec2n = 10Jedrzejak took 8 of 10
S3Jedrzejak5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S4Jedrzejak7Morawiec2n = 9Jedrzejak took 7 of 9
S5Jedrzejak2Morawiec2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJedrzejakMorawiecJ − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.739.4+6.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 521 vs 267 / 47167.4%56.7%351 / 521 vs 267 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.40/Morawiec 2.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.4%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak—912101182D. Morawiec—1110124113
WAug 22 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak—131110113D. Morawiec—1181271
WAug 15 · 15:05P. Jedrzejak—81111133D. Morawiec—1124111
WAug 15 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak—111110113D. Morawiec—491231
LJul 25 · 12:20P. Jedrzejak—681191D. Morawiec—11117113
WJul 25 · 08:20P. Jedrzejak—811813113D. Morawiec—117111182
LJul 11 · 15:30P. Jedrzejak—121211992D. Morawiec—1014811113
WJul 11 · 09:30P. Jedrzejak—1311113D. Morawiec—11980
WJun 27 · 12:20P. Jedrzejak—911911153D. Morawiec—116113132
WJun 27 · 08:20P. Jedrzejak—151111113D. Morawiec—179391
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
D. Morawiec10
WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz1.9181311123D. Morawiec1.8011116101LAug 29 · 07:30D. Morawiec2.854113161K. Slawinski1.3811811183
Upcoming Matches
P. Jedrzejak
Nothing scheduled
D. Morawiec
Sep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91J. Wieczerzak1.73—Sep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02M. Lach1.65—Sep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.06W. Wojtaszczyk1.63—Sep 12 · 12:20D. Morawiec1.86J. Wieczerzak1.80—Sep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec—F. Witczak——Sep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec—W. Wojtaszczyk——Sep 12 · 15:30D. Morawiec—M. Lach——Sep 12 · 16:20D. Morawiec—M. Oracz——
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