TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119145
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Morawiec
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161196111210––
Filip Witczak
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:21 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1161196111210––
H2H Daniel Morawiec 72–53 Filip Witczak Filip Witczak has won 53 of their 125 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:21What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Witczak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-53 in 125
Morawiec
Correct
gap of 19 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Morawiec 1391 vs Witczak 1410
Witczak
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Morawiec 20% vs Witczak 60%
Witczak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Morawiec 40% vs Witczak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Morawiec -4 · Witczak -1
Morawiec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Morawiec) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMorawiec 1.85 / Witczak 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Morawiec)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13119145
Morawiec1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Witczak1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMorawiec7wins
AwayWitczak3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMorawiec leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMorawiec100%6 of 6
AwayWitczak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Morawiec6Witczak4n = 10Morawiec took 6 of 10
S2Morawiec7Witczak3n = 10Morawiec took 7 of 10
S3Morawiec5Witczak5n = 10split evenly
S4Morawiec2Witczak3n = 5Witczak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMorawiecWitczakM − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.932.2+3.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorawiecWitczakBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 474 vs 266 / 47655.9%55.9%265 / 474 vs 266 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorawiecMorawiec 1.85/Witczak 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Morawiec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Morawiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec4211811123F. Witczak367118101
LAug 29 · 11:30D. Morawiec31109120F. Witczak371211143
WAug 29 · 06:20D. Morawiec331111113F. Witczak248970
WAug 22 · 15:05D. Morawiec47711117113F. Witczak4111561182
WAug 22 · 09:05D. Morawiec331111113F. Witczak216960
WAug 15 · 14:20D. Morawiec331111113F. Witczak143830
WAug 15 · 06:20D. Morawiec44111110123F. Witczak343912101
LJul 18 · 16:20D. Morawiec29811281F. Witczak3811511113
WJul 18 · 06:45D. Morawiec51111298113F. Witczak44610111162
LJul 11 · 12:45D. Morawiec165290F. Witczak331111113
D. Morawiec10
LSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.05117581W. Wojtaszczyk1.6871111113LSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960
F. Witczak10
LSep 12 · 11:30M. Lach1.831111113F. Witczak1.836970WSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.831157101F. Witczak1.8681111123WSep 12 · 09:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.77119741F. Witczak1.9591111113LSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750WAug 29 · 15:30F. Witczak1.9011116113K. Slawinski1.80371181LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak1.83512541M. Oracz1.86111011113LAug 29 · 12:45F. Witczak2.7571141172P. Jedrzejak1.38119117113
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