TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118263
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Morawiec
Home
2.02
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116611211––
Marcin Lach
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:43 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
611116611211––
H2H Daniel Morawiec 1–3 Marcin Lach Daniel Morawiec has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Lach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Lach
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Morawiec 1424 vs Lach 1395
Morawiec
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Morawiec 80% vs Lach 20%
Morawiec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Morawiec 50% vs Lach 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Morawiec -1 · Lach -4
Lach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lach form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMorawiec 2.02 / Lach 1.65
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lach)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13118263
Morawiec2.02
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Lach1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 114 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMorawiec1wins
AwayLach3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLach leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMorawiecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLach100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Morawiec1Lach3n = 4Lach took 3 of 4
S2Morawiec1Lach3n = 4Lach took 3 of 4
S3Morawiec2Lach2n = 4split evenly
S4Morawiec2Lach1n = 3Morawiec took 2 of 3
S5Morawiec1Lach2n = 3Lach took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMorawiecLachM − LBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.244.8−5.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorawiecLachBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 471 vs 136 / 21956.3%62.1%265 / 471 vs 136 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachMorawiec 2.02/Lach 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 1 · 15:05D. Morawiec—91070M. Lach—1112113
WAug 1 · 09:05D. Morawiec—112611113M. Lach—71111772
LJul 4 · 14:45D. Morawiec—84111182M. Lach—111197113
LJul 4 · 11:05D. Morawiec—101211692M. Lach—1210911113
D. Morawiec10
LSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113LAug 29 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak1.27111011113D. Morawiec3.30812891LAug 29 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.501111113D. Morawiec2.403960LAug 29 · 11:30F. Witczak1.871211143D. Morawiec1.83109120WAug 29 · 10:40D. Morawiec1.381111113R. Adach2.706860LAug 29 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.401111153D. Morawiec2.6524130
M. Lach10
LSep 12 · 08:45M. Lach1.908911111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133LSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111
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