TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118258
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171131513––––
Marcin Lach
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1171131513––––
H2H Michal Oracz 2–0 Marcin Lach Marcin Lach has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1436 vs Lach 1407
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 40% vs Lach 20%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Lach 40%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +1 · Lach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lach form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.86 / Lach 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lach)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13118258
Oracz1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog58% won 28 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Lach1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 114 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOracz2wins
AwayLach0wins
Oracz leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOraczLachO − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.036.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczLachBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 516 vs 137 / 22062%62.3%320 / 516 vs 137 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachOracz 1.86/Lach 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 11:55M. Oracz—11711113M. Lach—911991
WSep 6 · 05:55M. Oracz—121011113M. Lach—1012841
M. Oracz10
WSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980
M. Lach10
WSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:45M. Lach1.908911111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133LSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113
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