TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119148
Played Sep 12Finished
Marcin Lach
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119511116––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.81
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
119119511116––
H2H Marcin Lach 0–3 Michal Oracz Marcin Lach has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Oracz beat Lach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (50%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lach 1409 vs Oracz 1447
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 40% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 50% vs Oracz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach +1 · Oracz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lach form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.83 / Oracz 1.81
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oracz)+3.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13119148
Lach1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 19 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Oracz1.81
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLach0wins
AwayOracz3wins
Oracz leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLachn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lach0Oracz3n = 3Oracz took 3 of 3
S2Lach2Oracz1n = 3Lach took 2 of 3
S3Lach0Oracz3n = 3Oracz took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricLachOraczL − OBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match31.740.3−8.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 222 vs 322 / 51962.2%62%138 / 222 vs 322 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczLach 1.83/Oracz 1.81
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 12 · 10:20M. Lach2373130M. Oracz371111153
LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach38911991M. Oracz4011711113
LSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach341012841M. Oracz44121011113
M. Lach10
WSep 12 · 11:30M. Lach1.831111113F. Witczak1.836970LSep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.861111153M. Lach1.8073130WSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:45M. Lach1.908911111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133LSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113
M. Oracz10
LSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113LSep 12 · 11:55M. Oracz1.808240W. Wojtaszczyk1.901111113WSep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.861111153M. Lach1.8073130WSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270
Upcoming Matches
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M. Oracz
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