TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119121
Played Sep 12Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511411––––
Filip Witczak
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
611511411––––
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 2–1 Filip Witczak Filip Witczak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Witczak beat Wieczerzak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:25What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wieczerzak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1461 vs Witczak 1401
Wieczerzak
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 60% vs Witczak 40%
Wieczerzak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 60% vs Witczak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak +1 · Witczak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witczak form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.83 / Witczak 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13119121
Wieczerzak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 75 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 56 of 75
Witczak1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 28 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWieczerzak2wins
AwayWitczak1wins
Wieczerzak leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzak66.7%2 of 3
AwayWitczakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak3Witczak0n = 3Wieczerzak took 3 of 3
S2Wieczerzak2Witczak1n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S3Wieczerzak1Witczak2n = 3Witczak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWieczerzakWitczakWieczerzak − WitczakBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match35.033.7+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakWitczakBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 262 vs 267 / 47953.4%55.7%140 / 262 vs 267 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.83/Witczak 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak331157101F. Witczak4281111123
WJul 19 · 16:20J. Wieczerzak331111113F. Witczak228860
WJul 19 · 06:45J. Wieczerzak3911115123F. Witczak379711101
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113LSep 12 · 14:20M. Lach1.761111113J. Wieczerzak1.908990WSep 12 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak1.9512117113W. Wojtaszczyk1.771041181WSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.831157101F. Witczak1.8681111123LSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133LSep 12 · 07:30J. Wieczerzak1.9971050W. Wojtaszczyk1.681112113WSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113
F. Witczak10
LSep 12 · 15:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.71121911113F. Witczak2.001417971WSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113LSep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec1.8511116123F. Witczak1.856911101LSep 12 · 11:30M. Lach1.831111113F. Witczak1.836970WSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.831157101F. Witczak1.8681111123WSep 12 · 09:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.77119741F. Witczak1.9591111113LSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140WSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 17:05F. Witczak1.351111113R. Adach2.855750
Upcoming Matches
J. Wieczerzak
Sep 13 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.67Z. Sobkow2.10—Sep 13 · 04:30J. Wieczerzak1.83S. Szostok1.83—Sep 13 · 05:15J. Wieczerzak2.10A. Cichocki1.67—Sep 13 · 07:20J. Wieczerzak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—Sep 13 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak1.80M. Lach1.91—Sep 13 · 09:00J. Wieczerzak1.83S. Szostok1.83—Sep 13 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.67Z. Sobkow2.10—Sep 13 · 11:25J. Wieczerzak2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Sep 13 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—
F. Witczak
Nothing scheduled
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