TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119132
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911711––––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
611911711––––
H2H Michal Oracz 1–0 Jacek Wieczerzak Jacek Wieczerzak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Oracz beat Wieczerzak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1421 vs Wieczerzak 1448
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 40% vs Wieczerzak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 40% vs Wieczerzak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -3 · Wieczerzak -1
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.80 / Wieczerzak 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oracz)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13119132
Oracz1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Wieczerzak1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 42 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOracz1wins
AwayWieczerzak0wins
Oracz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOraczWieczerzakO − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.035.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 521 vs 139 / 26161.8%53.3%322 / 521 vs 139 / 261Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.80/Wieczerzak 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz3611112123J. Wieczerzak359511101
M. Oracz10
LSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113LSep 12 · 12:45M. Lach1.8311115113M. Oracz1.81991161LSep 12 · 11:55M. Oracz1.808240W. Wojtaszczyk1.901111113WSep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.861111153M. Lach1.8073130WSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113
J. Wieczerzak10
LSep 12 · 14:20M. Lach1.761111113J. Wieczerzak1.908990WSep 12 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak1.9512117113W. Wojtaszczyk1.771041181WSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.831157101F. Witczak1.8681111123LSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133LSep 12 · 07:30J. Wieczerzak1.9971050W. Wojtaszczyk1.681112113WSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz
J. Wieczerzak
Sep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.83F. Witczak1.86—Sep 13 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.67Z. Sobkow2.10—Sep 13 · 04:30J. Wieczerzak1.83S. Szostok1.83—Sep 13 · 05:15J. Wieczerzak2.10A. Cichocki1.67—Sep 13 · 07:20J. Wieczerzak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—Sep 13 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak1.83M. Lach1.83—Sep 13 · 09:00J. Wieczerzak1.83S. Szostok1.83—Sep 13 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.67Z. Sobkow2.10—Sep 13 · 11:25J. Wieczerzak2.20A. Cichocki1.61—Sep 13 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak2.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73—
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