TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120067
Played Sep 13Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Szostok above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Sebastian Szostok at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Szostok 9–12 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Sebastian Szostok has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Szostok beat Wojtaszczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:23What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1479 vs Wojtaszczyk 1489
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 60% vs Wojtaszczyk 100%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 70%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok -1 · Wojtaszczyk +5
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 2.00 / Wojtaszczyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13120067
Szostok2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 66 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Wojtaszczyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 372 of 534
Up 2–0, closes it97% 202 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it85% 290 of 343
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok5wins
AwayWojtaszczyk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok100%5 of 5
AwayWojtaszczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok5Wojtaszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Szostok3Wojtaszczyk7n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Szostok6Wojtaszczyk4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Szostok4Wojtaszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Szostok2Wojtaszczyk1n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokWojtaszczykS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.8+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime921 / 1571 vs 551 / 82158.6%67.1%921 / 1571 vs 551 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykSzostok 2.00/Wojtaszczyk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok43111110113W. Wojtaszczyk34871271
LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok399911101W. Wojtaszczyk3911115123
WAug 28 · 09:00S. Szostok4011711113W. Wojtaszczyk30811471
WAug 28 · 04:30S. Szostok43115511113W. Wojtaszczyk4891111982
LAug 24 · 09:00S. Szostok378115131W. Wojtaszczyk4411711153
LAug 24 · 04:30S. Szostok26410120W. Wojtaszczyk371112143
WAug 3 · 11:25S. Szostok49117119113W. Wojtaszczyk4061151172
LAug 3 · 07:20S. Szostok49891111102W. Wojtaszczyk46111193123
LJul 22 · 01:00S. Szostok377911101W. Wojtaszczyk3711113123
WJun 15 · 09:25S. Szostok331111113W. Wojtaszczyk238960
S. Szostok10
LSep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok1.44117118192Z. Sobkow2.63611311213WSep 13 · 11:50S. Szostok1.80816117113M. Lach1.91111471182WSep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.50111111113A. Cichocki1.50136941WSep 13 · 09:00S. Szostok1.831161011113J. Wieczerzak1.8381112772LSep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.501111113S. Szostok2.507880LSep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.3891111113S. Szostok1.53116751WSep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok1.83111110113W. Wojtaszczyk1.83871271LSep 13 · 04:30S. Szostok1.83512851J. Wieczerzak1.83111011113LSep 13 · 03:50M. Lach2.10111166143S. Szostok1.67771111122LSep 11 · 16:20J. Pruszkowski1.74671111113S. Szostok1.9511115772
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 13 · 13:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.731111113J. Wieczerzak2.005880WSep 13 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.63116791W. Wojtaszczyk1.4481111113WSep 13 · 11:00M. Lach2.00761191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311115113WSep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.40741191W. Wojtaszczyk2.7511119113WSep 13 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.25128981W. Wojtaszczyk1.57101111113LSep 13 · 07:20W. Wojtaszczyk1.739950J. Wieczerzak2.001111113LSep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok1.83111110113W. Wojtaszczyk1.83871271WSep 13 · 04:55M. Lach2.108690W. Wojtaszczyk1.671111113LSep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.57101111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.25123541WSep 12 · 17:05M. Lach1.859980W. Wojtaszczyk1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok
W. Wojtaszczyk
Nothing scheduled
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