TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120016
Played Sep 13Finished
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118118––––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Wojtaszczyk above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 55.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 4–2 Jacek Wieczerzak Jacek Wieczerzak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wieczerzak beat Wojtaszczyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wojtaszczyk 1491 vs Wieczerzak 1484
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wojtaszczyk 80% vs Wieczerzak 60%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wojtaszczyk 70% vs Wieczerzak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wojtaszczyk +4 · Wieczerzak -1
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Wojtaszczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWojtaszczyk 1.73 / Wieczerzak 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13120016
Wojtaszczyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 372 of 534
Up 2–0, closes it97% 202 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it85% 290 of 343
Wieczerzak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 41 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeWojtaszczyk4wins
AwayWieczerzak2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWojtaszczyk100%4 of 4
AwayWieczerzakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wojtaszczyk4Wieczerzak2n = 6Wojtaszczyk took 4 of 6
S2Wojtaszczyk4Wieczerzak2n = 6Wojtaszczyk took 4 of 6
S3Wojtaszczyk4Wieczerzak2n = 6Wojtaszczyk took 4 of 6
S4Wojtaszczyk2Wieczerzak2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricWojtaszczykWieczerzakWojtaszczyk − WieczerzakBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.537.7+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWojtaszczykWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 819 vs 144 / 27067.2%53.3%550 / 819 vs 144 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykWojtaszczyk 1.73/Wieczerzak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 12 · 13:30W. Wojtaszczyk331041181J. Wieczerzak4112117113
WSep 12 · 07:30W. Wojtaszczyk341112113J. Wieczerzak2271050
WSep 5 · 14:20W. Wojtaszczyk54111279153J. Wieczerzak527101111132
LSep 5 · 08:10W. Wojtaszczyk4081141162J. Wieczerzak50118119113
WJul 19 · 14:45W. Wojtaszczyk341211113J. Wieczerzak2510870
WJul 19 · 11:05W. Wojtaszczyk4211713113J. Wieczerzak366111181
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 13 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.63116791W. Wojtaszczyk1.4481111113WSep 13 · 11:00M. Lach2.00761191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311115113WSep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.40741191W. Wojtaszczyk2.7511119113WSep 13 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.25128981W. Wojtaszczyk1.57101111113LSep 13 · 07:20W. Wojtaszczyk1.739950J. Wieczerzak2.001111113LSep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok1.83111110113W. Wojtaszczyk1.83871271WSep 13 · 04:55M. Lach2.108690W. Wojtaszczyk1.671111113LSep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.57101111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.25123541WSep 12 · 17:05M. Lach1.859980W. Wojtaszczyk1.801111113WSep 12 · 15:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.71121911113F. Witczak2.001417971
J. Wieczerzak10
LSep 13 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.611112113J. Wieczerzak2.2061080WSep 13 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.1011115332J. Wieczerzak1.67991111113LSep 13 · 09:00S. Szostok1.831161011113J. Wieczerzak1.8381112772WSep 13 · 08:10M. Lach1.911110691J. Wieczerzak1.8081211113WSep 13 · 07:20W. Wojtaszczyk1.739950J. Wieczerzak2.001111113LSep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.671512116113J. Wieczerzak2.10171091182WSep 13 · 04:30S. Szostok1.83512851J. Wieczerzak1.83111011113WSep 13 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.1010870J. Wieczerzak1.671211113LSep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.836540F. Witczak1.861111113WSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113
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