TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120078
Played Sep 13Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210118––––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 60.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 8–7 Jacek Wieczerzak Jacek Wieczerzak has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1537 vs Wieczerzak 1489
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 60% vs Wieczerzak 80%
Wieczerzak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 60% vs Wieczerzak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki -2 · Wieczerzak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.61 / Wieczerzak 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Cichocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13120078
Cichocki1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 84 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Wieczerzak2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 41 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCichocki6wins
AwayWieczerzak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCichocki leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki66.7%4 of 6
AwayWieczerzak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki6Wieczerzak4n = 10Cichocki took 6 of 10
S2Cichocki4Wieczerzak6n = 10Wieczerzak took 6 of 10
S3Cichocki8Wieczerzak2n = 10Cichocki took 8 of 10
S4Cichocki2Wieczerzak6n = 8Wieczerzak took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCichockiWieczerzakC − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.5−0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 189 vs 145 / 26963.5%53.9%120 / 189 vs 145 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.61/Wieczerzak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki551512116113J. Wieczerzak55171091182
WAug 30 · 11:25A. Cichocki4381112123J. Wieczerzak3811710101
LAug 30 · 05:15A. Cichocki34149561J. Wieczerzak45121111113
LAug 29 · 09:00A. Cichocki31591161J. Wieczerzak4111118113
LAug 29 · 04:30A. Cichocki30871141J. Wieczerzak4111118113
WAug 23 · 09:50A. Cichocki331111113J. Wieczerzak248880
WAug 23 · 05:40A. Cichocki4111811113J. Wieczerzak34711971
LAug 22 · 11:50A. Cichocki35117981J. Wieczerzak4291111113
WAug 22 · 03:50A. Cichocki561213119113J. Wieczerzak54101591192
WAug 10 · 13:55A. Cichocki331111113J. Wieczerzak213990
A. Cichocki10
LSep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.50111111113A. Cichocki1.50136941LSep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.40741191W. Wojtaszczyk2.7511119113WSep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.501111113S. Szostok2.507880WSep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.571711113M. Lach2.2515740WSep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.671512116113J. Wieczerzak2.10171091182WSep 13 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.7511611952A. Cichocki1.40511311113WSep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.57101111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.25123541WSep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki1.3351111113M. Paszkiewicz3.25115991LSep 12 · 12:40K. Juszczyk2.501111411113A. Cichocki1.5091311882WSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 13 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.1011115332J. Wieczerzak1.67991111113LSep 13 · 09:00S. Szostok1.831161011113J. Wieczerzak1.8381112772WSep 13 · 08:10M. Lach1.911110691J. Wieczerzak1.8081211113WSep 13 · 07:20W. Wojtaszczyk1.739950J. Wieczerzak2.001111113LSep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.671512116113J. Wieczerzak2.10171091182WSep 13 · 04:30S. Szostok1.83512851J. Wieczerzak1.83111011113WSep 13 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.1010870J. Wieczerzak1.671211113LSep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.836540F. Witczak1.861111113WSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113LSep 12 · 14:20M. Lach1.761111113J. Wieczerzak1.908990
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