TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125255
Played Sep 14Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.48
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111412116––––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.49
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
13111412116––––
H2H Oskar Jadach 21–5 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 5 of their 26 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Jadach beat Vincenec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (63%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-5 in 26
Jadach
Correct
gap of 16 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1491 vs Vincenec 1377
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Vincenec 40%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 80% vs Vincenec 30%
Jadach
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +4 · Vincenec +2
Jadach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.48 / Vincenec 2.49
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Jadach)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125255
Jadach1.48
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 313 of 464
Up 2–0, closes it94% 145 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it85% 216 of 253
Vincenec2.49
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 188 of 468
Down 0–1, comes back24% 67 of 282
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach9wins
AwayVincenec1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%6 of 6
AwayVincenec25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach6Vincenec4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S2Jadach6Vincenec4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S3Jadach7Vincenec3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Jadach4Vincenec4n = 8split evenly
S5Jadach5Vincenec0n = 5Jadach took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachVincenecJ − VBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.738.4+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1314 vs 664 / 146660.8%45.3%799 / 1314 vs 664 / 1466Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.48/Vincenec 2.49
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach511171111113O. Vincenec4341113962
WAug 30 · 17:05O. Jadach5410111111113O. Vincenec4512751382
WAug 30 · 08:45O. Jadach331111113O. Vincenec186750
WAug 20 · 13:30O. Jadach4111118113O. Vincenec37891191
WAug 20 · 07:30O. Jadach54811159113O. Vincenec45113131172
WJul 24 · 15:55O. Jadach361114113O. Vincenec2151240
WJul 24 · 09:55O. Jadach5311101011113O. Vincenec4261212752
LJul 17 · 17:05O. Jadach419111381O. Vincenec46111311113
WJul 17 · 08:45O. Jadach491011115123O. Vincenec47126811102
WJul 5 · 17:05O. Jadach4514811123O. Vincenec4012117101
O. Jadach10
WSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940WSep 14 · 24:20G. Marud2.179137111O. Jadach1.56111111133WSep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33115911113J. Nowak2.8581111852WSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.601111113G. Marud2.105970LSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962WSep 11 · 13:55M. Baron2.381211111062O. Jadach1.53147912113WSep 11 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.103770O. Jadach1.671111113LSep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.28871191O. Sokolowski3.5011117113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 14 · 01:55M. Adamus1.8181111113O. Vincenec1.82119661WSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123WSep 13 · 22:40G. Marud1.78961191O. Vincenec1.9311118113LSep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.0011411153O. Vincenec1.707115131LSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851LSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392LSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962LSep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10891111113O. Vincenec1.6711117982LSep 12 · 01:25O. Vincenec2.1011791162L. Oracz1.67511117113WSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123
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