TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125279
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Marud
Home
1.78
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611118911––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
911611118911––
H2H Grzegorz Marud 10–15 Oliver Vincenec Grzegorz Marud has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Marud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-15 in 25
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marud 1498 vs Vincenec 1355
Marud
Wrong
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marud 60% vs Vincenec 0%
Marud
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marud 80% vs Vincenec 20%
Marud
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marud +1 · Vincenec -5
Vincenec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marud)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarud 1.78 / Vincenec 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Marud)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13125279
Marud1.78
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 120 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it70% 97 of 138
Vincenec1.93
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 188 of 468
Down 0–1, comes back24% 67 of 282
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarud7wins
AwayVincenec3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMarud leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarud100%6 of 6
AwayVincenec75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marud6Vincenec4n = 10Marud took 6 of 10
S2Marud7Vincenec3n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S3Marud6Vincenec4n = 10Marud took 6 of 10
S4Marud4Vincenec1n = 5Marud took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarudVincenecM − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.730.4+6.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarudVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1355 vs 662 / 146347.1%45.3%638 / 1355 vs 662 / 1463Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudMarud 1.78/Vincenec 1.93
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 22:25G. Marud331111113O. Vincenec196490
WJul 8 · 01:10G. Marud4211911113O. Vincenec33811681
LMay 26 · 22:00G. Marud3881131152O. Vincenec41117111113
WMay 26 · 20:45G. Marud331111113O. Vincenec215790
WMay 13 · 02:00G. Marud371511113O. Vincenec2213720
LMay 12 · 20:45G. Marud34811781O. Vincenec4011711113
LMar 18 · 03:00G. Marud218580O. Vincenec331111113
WMar 17 · 19:00G. Marud331111113O. Vincenec227690
WMar 11 · 01:45G. Marud531211811113O. Vincenec3914411642
WMar 10 · 19:45G. Marud43111011113O. Vincenec34912671
G. Marud10
WSep 13 · 21:05M. Adamus2.056650G. Marud1.681111113LSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.601111113G. Marud2.105970WSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162LSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113WSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113WSep 9 · 01:00L. Oracz1.83116871G. Marud1.8361111113WSep 9 · 24:10G. Marud1.911111113J. Nowak1.804880WSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060WSep 8 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.405660G. Marud1.501111113WSep 8 · 20:30G. Marud1.671111113J. Nowak2.108950
O. Vincenec10
LSep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.0011411153O. Vincenec1.707115131LSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851LSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392LSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962LSep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10891111113O. Vincenec1.6711117982LSep 12 · 01:25O. Vincenec2.1011791162L. Oracz1.67511117113WSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123LSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:20S. Krupa2.10118160O. Vincenec1.671311183LSep 11 · 20:30K. Schaniel1.73117915113O. Vincenec2.00811111372
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