TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124009
Played Sep 13Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114811118115––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:21 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
114811118115––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 19–16 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vincenec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Adamus
Correct
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1428 vs Vincenec 1381
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 100% vs Vincenec 20%
Adamus
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 90% vs Vincenec 40%
Adamus
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +5 · Vincenec -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.83 / Vincenec 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13124009
Adamus1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Vincenec1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwayVincenec7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus33.3%1 of 3
AwayVincenec71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus3Vincenec7n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S2Adamus7Vincenec3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S3Adamus4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S4Adamus4Vincenec5n = 9Vincenec took 5 of 9
S5Adamus1Vincenec3n = 4Vincenec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusVincenecA − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.041.00.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime793 / 1628 vs 662 / 146148.7%45.3%793 / 1628 vs 662 / 1461Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.83/Vincenec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 10:10M. Adamus50911911102O. Vincenec50117119123
LAug 6 · 07:45M. Adamus50911111182O. Vincenec47111375113
LJul 19 · 02:20M. Adamus4811129882O. Vincenec496101111113
LJul 18 · 18:20M. Adamus35791271O. Vincenec43111110113
LJul 8 · 08:00M. Adamus32911481O. Vincenec3611311113
WJul 4 · 06:00M. Adamus341211113O. Vincenec2610970
LJun 22 · 05:55M. Adamus31116951O. Vincenec4071111113
WJun 4 · 16:00M. Adamus4491311113O. Vincenec331111651
WMay 12 · 19:35M. Adamus516111211113O. Vincenec4511514962
LApr 19 · 10:20M. Adamus351011591O. Vincenec4112711113
M. Adamus10
WSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172WSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 06:45T. Lojtek2.209450M. Adamus1.601111113WSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113WSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172WSep 13 · 04:00M. Adamus2.55117711113P. Zemla1.4291111652WSep 11 · 08:20M. Adamus1.301011911133R. Komandzik3.25124117112LSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 06:00Y. Fomin1.8312711882M. Adamus1.861011811113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392LSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962LSep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10891111113O. Vincenec1.6711117982LSep 12 · 01:25O. Vincenec2.1011791162L. Oracz1.67511117113WSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123LSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:20S. Krupa2.10118160O. Vincenec1.671311183LSep 11 · 20:30K. Schaniel1.73117915113O. Vincenec2.00811111372WSep 11 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.8371111123L. Oracz1.831187101WSep 11 · 18:10O. Sokolowski1.91911871O. Vincenec1.8011911113
Upcoming Matches
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