TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113628
Played Sep 11Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121149111171311
Rafal Komandzik
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:24 and never touched — 71.4% is still 71.4%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
71.4%
71.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
10121149111171311
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1343 vs Komandzik 1060
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 283 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Komandzik 40%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Komandzik 20%
Adamus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Komandzik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.30 / Komandzik 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Adamus)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13113628
Adamus1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 226 of 415
Up 2–0, closes it89% 84 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it72% 153 of 212
Komandzik3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusKomandzikBasisWin rate · lifetime791 / 1630 vs 3 / 1948.5%15.8%791 / 1630 vs 3 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.01.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.130.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.30/Komandzik 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.4%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Adamus10
LSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 06:00Y. Fomin1.8312711882M. Adamus1.861011811113WSep 11 · 05:10M. Adamus1.6111118113J. Nowak2.08881181LSep 11 · 04:00M. Adamus2.35781181M. Lebek1.5011118113WSep 9 · 08:20M. Adamus1.8811119113M. Paszkiewicz1.82971181LSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.10511711113M. Adamus1.6711811692LSep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek1.701112113M. Adamus1.9581090WSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113WSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940
R. Komandzik10
WSep 11 · 07:35J. Nowak1.70136661R. Komandzik2.00111111113LSep 11 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.341111113R. Komandzik3.005660WSep 11 · 04:50M. Lebek1.16911771R. Komandzik4.3511311113LSep 11 · 03:10Y. Fomin1.271111113R. Komandzik3.206850LSep 11 · 02:20K. Durak1.221311113R. Komandzik3.7011370LSep 11 · 01:35J. Nowak1.447131311113R. Komandzik2.50111115992LSep 10 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.2011911113R. Komandzik3.90711311LSep 10 · 22:50P. Brozek1.22111194123R. Komandzik3.65961111102LSep 10 · 21:10M. Lebek—1111113R. Komandzik—5380LSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus2 of 2 neutral
R. Komandzik
Nothing scheduled
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