TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13111760
Played Sep 10Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911113111––
Rafal Komandzik
Away
3.90
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
117911113111––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (76%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1386 vs Komandzik 932
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 454 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 40% vs Komandzik 0%
Tkocz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 40% vs Komandzik 0%
Tkocz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +2 · Komandzik -5
Komandzik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komandzik form (0%) is below what odds imply (26%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.20 / Komandzik 3.90
Signal prob.77% / 24%
Edge (Tkocz)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13111760
Tkocz1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 314 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 175 of 185
Up 1–0, closes it84% 257 of 307
Komandzik3.90
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczKomandzikBasisWin rate · lifetime765 / 1150 vs 1 / 1266.5%8.3%765 / 1150 vs 1 / 12Avg sets wonper match2.40.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.030.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.20/Komandzik 3.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.5%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkocz won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Tkocz10
WSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101LSep 10 · 19:35P. Zemla1.831211113M. Tkocz1.8310830LSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661LSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472WSep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72711115113M. Lebek1.9211851172LSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113WSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931
R. Komandzik10
LSep 10 · 22:50P. Brozek1.22111194123R. Komandzik3.65961111102LSep 10 · 21:10M. Lebek—1111113R. Komandzik—5380LSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113LSep 3 · 24:45R. Komandzik—71111952O. Sokolowski—116311113LSep 2 · 23:35R. Komandzik—106100W. Urban—1211123LSep 2 · 22:25M. Lebek—81111113R. Komandzik—115651LSep 2 · 21:35R. Komandzik—814391A. Burkacki—111211113LSep 2 · 20:45R. Adach—13811113R. Komandzik—1111981LSep 2 · 19:35R. Komandzik—3570K. Juszczyk—1111113LSep 2 · 18:25A. Ruszkiewicz—1111123R. Komandzik—39100
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