TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119595
Played Sep 13Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91110121141311117
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
91110121141311117
H2H Mariusz Adamus 37–38 Jakub Nowak Mariusz Adamus has won 37 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-38 in 75
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1405 vs Nowak 1257
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 100% vs Nowak 40%
Adamus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 80% vs Nowak 30%
Adamus
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +5 · Nowak -2
Adamus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.65 / Nowak 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Adamus)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13119595
Adamus1.65
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 210 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it89% 79 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it71% 144 of 202
Nowak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 231 of 650
Down 0–1, comes back21% 83 of 392
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 232
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwayNowak7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNowak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus50%3 of 6
AwayNowak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Nowak4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus5Nowak5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus7Nowak3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Adamus3Nowak5n = 8Nowak took 5 of 8
S5Adamus0Nowak5n = 5Nowak took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusNowakA − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.540.1+0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime791 / 1626 vs 671 / 173948.7%38.6%791 / 1626 vs 671 / 1739Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.65/Nowak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 05:10M. Adamus4111118113J. Nowak35881181
WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus351113113J. Nowak2061130
WSep 1 · 24:30M. Adamus331111113J. Nowak229490
LAug 31 · 22:20M. Adamus4131111972J. Nowak50119811113
LAug 29 · 05:05M. Adamus32118671J. Nowak4181111113
LAug 28 · 20:45M. Adamus51119118122J. Nowak46811211143
LAug 12 · 06:25M. Adamus4599111152J. Nowak47111159113
LAug 4 · 03:35M. Adamus4599111152J. Nowak44111165113
LJun 21 · 03:35M. Adamus4411912842J. Nowak507111011113
LJun 4 · 05:10M. Adamus38815871J. Nowak46111311113
M. Adamus10
WSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851WSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 06:45T. Lojtek2.209450M. Adamus1.601111113WSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113WSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172WSep 13 · 04:00M. Adamus2.55117711113P. Zemla1.4291111652WSep 11 · 08:20M. Adamus1.301011911133R. Komandzik3.25124117112LSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 06:00Y. Fomin1.8312711882M. Adamus1.861011811113
J. Nowak10
LSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162LSep 11 · 08:45Y. Fomin1.601111113J. Nowak2.155480LSep 11 · 07:35J. Nowak1.70136661R. Komandzik2.00111111113WSep 11 · 06:25M. Lebek1.37111181082J. Nowak2.70691112113LSep 11 · 05:10M. Adamus1.6111118113J. Nowak2.08881181WSep 11 · 03:35R. Idaczyk1.80912731J. Nowak1.85111011113LSep 11 · 02:45M. Lebek1.421111133J. Nowak2.6086110WSep 11 · 01:35J. Nowak1.447131311113R. Komandzik2.50111115992LSep 11 · 24:25P. Brozek1.57871112113J. Nowak2.20111181072LSep 10 · 23:10K. Durak1.6011711123J. Nowak2.207114101
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus1 of 7 neutral
J. Nowak1 of 8 neutral
Sep 13 · 20:45J. Nowak1.83A. Ruszkiewicz1.86—Sep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.10O. Vincenec1.60—Sep 13 · 23:05J. Nowak2.85O. Jadach1.33—Sep 13 · 23:55J. Nowak2.08M. Adamus1.62—Sep 14 · 01:30J. Nowak2.37G. Marud1.47—Sep 14 · 02:45J. Nowak2.85O. Jadach1.33—Sep 14 · 03:55J. Nowak—O. Vincenec——Sep 14 · 05:05J. Nowak—A. Ruszkiewicz——
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