TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124020
Played Sep 13Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.46
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711811––––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
811711811––––
H2H Oskar Jadach 29–21 Mariusz Adamus Mariusz Adamus has won 21 of their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-21 in 50
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 8 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1459 vs Adamus 1412
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Adamus 100%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 70% vs Adamus 90%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +3 · Adamus +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.46 / Adamus 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Jadach)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13124020
Jadach1.46
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 313 of 464
Up 2–0, closes it94% 145 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it85% 216 of 253
Adamus2.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 169 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back22% 45 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayAdamus5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach50%2 of 4
AwayAdamus60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach4Adamus5n = 9Adamus took 5 of 9
S2Jadach3Adamus6n = 9Adamus took 6 of 9
S3Jadach6Adamus3n = 9Jadach took 6 of 9
S4Jadach6Adamus3n = 9Jadach took 6 of 9
S5Jadach2Adamus4n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachAdamusJ − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match45.346.7−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1309 vs 792 / 162760.7%48.7%795 / 1309 vs 792 / 1627Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.46/Adamus 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.4%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 27 · 15:05O. Jadach4491211123M. Adamus4011109101
WAug 27 · 09:05O. Jadach4511711163M. Adamus376116141
WAug 3 · 12:45O. Jadach511171012113M. Adamus47711121072
LAug 3 · 10:20O. Jadach3861211362M. Adamus511110811113
LJul 26 · 05:55O. Jadach4813119782M. Adamus531191111113
LJul 21 · 06:25O. Jadach315411111M. Adamus4111116133
WJun 19 · 15:05O. Jadach53981111143M. Adamus50111197122
LJun 19 · 09:05O. Jadach50157611112M. Adamus551311117133
LJun 12 · 15:05O. Jadach4889111192M. Adamus46111185113
O. Jadach10
WSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962WSep 11 · 13:55M. Baron2.381211111062O. Jadach1.53147912113WSep 11 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.103770O. Jadach1.671111113LSep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.28871191O. Sokolowski3.5011117113WSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491LSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.441311113O. Sokolowski2.6311930WSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192LSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:10O. Jadach1.57101213113M. Baron2.2512101101
M. Adamus10
WSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851WSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172WSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 06:45T. Lojtek2.209450M. Adamus1.601111113WSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113WSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172WSep 13 · 04:00M. Adamus2.55117711113P. Zemla1.4291111652WSep 11 · 08:20M. Adamus1.301011911133R. Komandzik3.25124117112LSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 06:00Y. Fomin1.8312711882M. Adamus1.861011811113
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach1 of 8 neutral
Sep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.60G. Marud2.10—Sep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.33A. Ruszkiewicz2.85—Sep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33J. Nowak2.85—Sep 14 · 24:20O. Jadach1.56G. Marud2.17—Sep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.45O. Vincenec2.45—Sep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.33J. Nowak2.85—Sep 14 · 03:30O. Jadach—A. Ruszkiewicz——Sep 14 · 04:20O. Jadach—M. Adamus——
M. Adamus1 of 7 neutral
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