TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109818
Played Sep 11Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8117111181210117
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
8117111181210117
H2H Piotr Brozek 1–1 Jakub Nowak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1440 vs Nowak 1278
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 40% vs Nowak 0%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 50% vs Nowak 20%
Brozek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +2 · Nowak -5
Nowak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.57 / Nowak 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Brozek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109818
Brozek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 55 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Nowak2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 248 of 686
Down 0–1, comes back21% 88 of 412
Down 0–2, comes back8% 20 of 241
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBrozek1wins
AwayNowak1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBrozekNowakB − NBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.541.50.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 167 vs 668 / 173153.9%38.6%90 / 167 vs 668 / 1731Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.57/Nowak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 4 · 03:05P. Brozek—117118113J. Nowak—71191142
LJul 3 · 21:05P. Brozek—711981J. Nowak—11811113
P. Brozek10
WSep 11 · 01:10M. Lebek1.7410670P. Brozek1.911211113WSep 10 · 22:50P. Brozek1.22111194123R. Komandzik3.65961111102WSep 10 · 22:00K. Durak1.77912781P. Brozek1.93111011113LSep 10 · 20:45P. Brozek1.958790P. Zemla1.751111113LSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113LSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143LSep 10 · 16:25P. Brozek1.90116491M. Koczyba1.8081111113WSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472WSep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.0021112113P. Gumulinski1.731181091WSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121
J. Nowak10
LSep 10 · 23:10K. Durak1.6011711123J. Nowak2.207114101LSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 9 · 02:35L. Oracz1.671111123J. Nowak2.1058100LSep 9 · 01:25J. Nowak2.201341011142P. Adamus1.611111129163LSep 9 · 24:10G. Marud1.911111113J. Nowak1.804880WSep 8 · 22:55G. Jurowicz1.801111119102J. Nowak1.91613811123WSep 8 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.36931113112J. Nowak3.001111411133LSep 8 · 20:30G. Marud1.671111113J. Nowak2.108950LSep 8 · 19:20J. Nowak2.20981191P. Adamus1.6111119113LSep 8 · 18:10L. Oracz1.57811118113J. Nowak2.2511851162
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