TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125293
Played Sep 13Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611511––––
Grzegorz Marud
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
611611511––––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 21–21 Grzegorz Marud Dead even across their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Marud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-21 in 42
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1439 vs Marud 1485
Marud
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 100% vs Marud 60%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 90% vs Marud 70%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +5 · Marud -1
Adamus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.05 / Marud 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Marud)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125293
Adamus2.05
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 169 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back22% 45 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 113
Marud1.68
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 120 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it70% 97 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwayMarud3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus83.3%5 of 6
AwayMarud50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Marud4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus3Marud7n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S3Adamus5Marud5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus7Marud1n = 8Adamus took 7 of 8
S5Adamus2Marud1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusMarudA − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.2+2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1629 vs 637 / 135448.7%47.1%794 / 1629 vs 637 / 1354Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudAdamus 2.05/Marud 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 01:30M. Adamus4314711113G. Marud351211391
LAug 31 · 19:55M. Adamus3197150G. Marud391111173
WJun 17 · 02:00M. Adamus4211128113G. Marud359101151
LJun 16 · 19:10M. Adamus4411581192G. Marud47911115113
WJun 9 · 04:40M. Adamus47111177113G. Marud4295111162
WJun 8 · 22:40M. Adamus43371111113G. Marud4211119292
WMay 19 · 16:25M. Adamus3911611113G. Marud28611471
WMay 12 · 15:10M. Adamus3911611113G. Marud32711681
LMay 5 · 18:00M. Adamus2358100G. Marud341111123
WApr 28 · 22:50M. Adamus4391112113G. Marud381191081
M. Adamus10
WSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851WSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172WSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 06:45T. Lojtek2.209450M. Adamus1.601111113WSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113WSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172WSep 13 · 04:00M. Adamus2.55117711113P. Zemla1.4291111652WSep 11 · 08:20M. Adamus1.301011911133R. Komandzik3.25124117112LSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172
G. Marud10
LSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.601111113G. Marud2.105970WSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162LSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113WSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113WSep 9 · 01:00L. Oracz1.83116871G. Marud1.8361111113WSep 9 · 24:10G. Marud1.911111113J. Nowak1.804880WSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060WSep 8 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.405660G. Marud1.501111113WSep 8 · 20:30G. Marud1.671111113J. Nowak2.108950LSep 8 · 18:55G. Marud1.837520L. Oracz1.831111113
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