TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125299
Played Sep 13Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119117––––
Grzegorz Marud
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
115119117––––
H2H Oskar Jadach 100–27 Grzegorz Marud Grzegorz Marud has won 27 of their 127 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
100-27 in 127
Jadach
Correct
gap of 73 in 127, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1442 vs Marud 1502
Marud
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Marud 80%
Marud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 60% vs Marud 80%
Marud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -1 · Marud +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marud form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.60 / Marud 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jadach)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13125299
Jadach1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 313 of 464
Up 2–0, closes it94% 145 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it85% 216 of 253
Marud2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 125 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back22% 37 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach7wins
AwayMarud3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%5 of 5
AwayMarud60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach5Marud5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadach3Marud7n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S3Jadach7Marud3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Jadach6Marud1n = 7Jadach took 6 of 7
S5Jadach3Marud1n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachMarudJ − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.834.4+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1310 vs 637 / 135360.7%47.1%795 / 1310 vs 637 / 1353Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.60/Marud 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 01:50O. Jadach47811611113G. Marud3911711282
WSep 7 · 18:20O. Jadach3711411113G. Marud31811571
WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach46117611113G. Marud3351111422
WSep 6 · 18:20O. Jadach4011711113G. Marud25411731
WSep 2 · 24:35O. Jadach331111113G. Marud209740
LSep 1 · 18:30O. Jadach4075111162G. Marud50111198113
LFeb 17 · 03:20O. Jadach194870G. Marud331111113
LFeb 16 · 19:20O. Jadach32671181G. Marud4111118113
WFeb 16 · 03:20O. Jadach511231114113G. Marud49141151272
WFeb 15 · 19:20O. Jadach331111113G. Marud238960
O. Jadach10
LSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962WSep 11 · 13:55M. Baron2.381211111062O. Jadach1.53147912113WSep 11 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.103770O. Jadach1.671111113LSep 11 · 12:15O. Jadach1.28871191O. Sokolowski3.5011117113WSep 11 · 10:35O. Jadach1.3311911113P. Slosarczyk3.25611491LSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:35O. Jadach1.441311113O. Sokolowski2.6311930WSep 11 · 06:55O. Jadach1.73115116113Z. Sobkow2.0091151192LSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113
G. Marud10
WSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162LSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113WSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113WSep 9 · 01:00L. Oracz1.83116871G. Marud1.8361111113WSep 9 · 24:10G. Marud1.911111113J. Nowak1.804880WSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060WSep 8 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.405660G. Marud1.501111113WSep 8 · 20:30G. Marud1.671111113J. Nowak2.108950LSep 8 · 18:55G. Marud1.837520L. Oracz1.831111113WSep 8 · 17:45G. Marud1.571111113G. Jurowicz2.259470
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