TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119825
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Marud
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117118111411
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
911117118111411
H2H Grzegorz Marud 6–7 Adam Ruszkiewicz Grzegorz Marud has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Marud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marud 1511 vs Ruszkiewicz 1414
Marud
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marud 100% vs Ruszkiewicz 40%
Marud
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marud 90% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
Marud
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marud +5 · Ruszkiewicz -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marud form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarud 1.70 / Ruszkiewicz 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Marud)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119825
Marud1.70
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 120 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it70% 97 of 138
Ruszkiewicz2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 139 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarud4wins
AwayRuszkiewicz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarud100%3 of 3
AwayRuszkiewicz85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marud3Ruszkiewicz7n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S2Marud4Ruszkiewicz6n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Marud7Ruszkiewicz3n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S4Marud3Ruszkiewicz5n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 8
S5Marud2Ruszkiewicz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarudRuszkiewiczM − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.4−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarudRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime642 / 1364 vs 314 / 86247.1%36.4%642 / 1364 vs 314 / 862Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudMarud 1.70/Ruszkiewicz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LDec 30 · 17:25G. Marud249690A. Ruszkiewicz331111113
LAug 20 · 01:10G. Marud25611261A. Ruszkiewicz3911611113
LAug 5 · 22:50G. Marud35991161A. Ruszkiewicz4011117113
WAug 5 · 02:45G. Marud331111113A. Ruszkiewicz177730
LAug 4 · 23:05G. Marud4351111882A. Ruszkiewicz50118911113
LJul 23 · 24:45G. Marud32571191A. Ruszkiewicz4211119113
WJul 22 · 18:45G. Marud4211911113A. Ruszkiewicz27511921
WJul 21 · 03:30G. Marud501110711113A. Ruszkiewicz4371211672
WJul 20 · 21:30G. Marud47951111113A. Ruszkiewicz4611119872
LJul 16 · 24:45G. Marud46911111052A. Ruszkiewicz47114912113
G. Marud10
LSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.601111113G. Marud2.105970WSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162WSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113WSep 9 · 01:00L. Oracz1.83116871G. Marud1.8361111113WSep 9 · 24:10G. Marud1.911111113J. Nowak1.804880WSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060WSep 8 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.405660G. Marud1.501111113WSep 8 · 20:30G. Marud1.671111113J. Nowak2.108950LSep 8 · 18:55G. Marud1.837520L. Oracz1.831111113WSep 8 · 17:45G. Marud1.571111113G. Jurowicz2.259470
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392LSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113LSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151LSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102WSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101WSep 11 · 20:05A. Ruszkiewicz2.50651111113L. Oracz1.5011118962WSep 11 · 18:30S. Krupa1.53761451A. Ruszkiewicz2.38111112113LSep 11 · 17:45K. Schaniel1.73612116113A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111091172WSep 11 · 16:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.2012119113O. Vincenec1.611081171
Upcoming Matches
G. Marud
A. Ruszkiewicz
Sep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.86J. Nowak1.83—Sep 13 · 21:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.85O. Jadach1.33—Sep 13 · 22:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.07M. Adamus1.62—Sep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.10O. Vincenec1.60—Sep 14 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.14M. Adamus1.58—Sep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.45G. Marud1.45—Sep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.95O. Jadach1.31—Sep 14 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.84J. Nowak1.80—
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