TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125271
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6118111012––––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
6118111012––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 9–15 Oliver Vincenec Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Ruszkiewicz beat Vincenec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Vincenec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-15 in 24
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1420 vs Vincenec 1371
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Vincenec 20%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 50% vs Vincenec 30%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -2 · Vincenec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vincenec) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.10 / Vincenec 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vincenec)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125271
Ruszkiewicz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 139 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Vincenec1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 134 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it86% 61 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it75% 100 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz8wins
AwayVincenec2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayVincenec25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz6Vincenec4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz7Vincenec3n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S4Ruszkiewicz6Vincenec3n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 9
S5Ruszkiewicz4Vincenec2n = 6Ruszkiewicz took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczVincenecR − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.240.7+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 861 vs 663 / 146436.8%45.3%317 / 861 vs 663 / 1464Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecRuszkiewicz 2.10/Vincenec 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.4%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz559111311113O. Vincenec50116111392
WSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz47111177113O. Vincenec4274111192
WSep 11 · 16:55A. Ruszkiewicz4312119113O. Vincenec361081171
WAug 18 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz331111113O. Vincenec197480
WAug 11 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz51991111113O. Vincenec4411116792
WJul 28 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz4313811113O. Vincenec341111571
LJul 7 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz4111116672O. Vincenec44741111113
WApr 15 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz531171113113O. Vincenec53911131192
LFeb 20 · 04:10A. Ruszkiewicz4221191282O. Vincenec511181110113
WFeb 10 · 09:20A. Ruszkiewicz44101211113O. Vincenec341210481
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392WSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113LSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113LSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151LSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102WSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101
O. Vincenec10
WSep 13 · 22:40G. Marud1.78961191O. Vincenec1.9311118113LSep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.0011411153O. Vincenec1.707115131LSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851LSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392LSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962LSep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10891111113O. Vincenec1.6711117982LSep 12 · 01:25O. Vincenec2.1011791162L. Oracz1.67511117113WSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123LSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:20S. Krupa2.10118160O. Vincenec1.671311183
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