TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125282
Played Sep 13Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111156111151210
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
2.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
9111156111151210
H2H Mariusz Adamus 17–16 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-16 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1426 vs Ruszkiewicz 1431
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 90% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
Adamus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Ruszkiewicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.62 / Ruszkiewicz 2.07
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Adamus)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13125282
Adamus1.62
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 210 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it89% 79 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it71% 144 of 202
Ruszkiewicz2.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 139 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwayRuszkiewicz7wins
8 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus60%3 of 5
AwayRuszkiewicz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus4Ruszkiewicz6n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Adamus4Ruszkiewicz6n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S4Adamus5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S5Adamus3Ruszkiewicz5n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusRuszkiewiczA − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match47.348.8−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1630 vs 317 / 86048.7%36.9%794 / 1630 vs 317 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.62/Ruszkiewicz 2.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 08:20M. Adamus511171110123A. Ruszkiewicz40511212102
LAug 4 · 04:25M. Adamus4113810101A. Ruszkiewicz46111112123
LAug 1 · 03:05M. Adamus31841181A. Ruszkiewicz4011117113
LJul 31 · 21:05M. Adamus591113171262A. Ruszkiewicz627151910113
WJul 21 · 08:00M. Adamus561110711173A. Ruszkiewicz54812118152
LJun 30 · 06:45M. Adamus4171111662A. Ruszkiewicz45117511113
LJun 2 · 06:25M. Adamus539131110102A. Ruszkiewicz551111912123
LMay 19 · 04:00M. Adamus4571171192A. Ruszkiewicz49118118113
LApr 29 · 17:10M. Adamus4561361462A. Ruszkiewicz5611111112113
WApr 28 · 08:20M. Adamus51119911113A. Ruszkiewicz4161111492
M. Adamus10
LSep 13 · 21:05M. Adamus2.056650G. Marud1.681111113WSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851WSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172WSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 06:45T. Lojtek2.209450M. Adamus1.601111113WSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113WSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172WSep 13 · 04:00M. Adamus2.55117711113P. Zemla1.4291111652WSep 11 · 08:20M. Adamus1.301011911133R. Komandzik3.25124117112
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392WSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113LSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113LSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151LSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102WSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101WSep 11 · 20:05A. Ruszkiewicz2.50651111113L. Oracz1.5011118962
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