TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125295
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
115116119––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 14–17 Jakub Nowak Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:57What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nowak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-17 in 31
Nowak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1438 vs Nowak 1245
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Nowak 20%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Nowak 30%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +2 · Nowak -4
Nowak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.86 / Nowak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125295
Ruszkiewicz1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 139 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Nowak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 71 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz6wins
AwayNowak4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz71.4%5 of 7
AwayNowakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz7Nowak2n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 9
S2Ruszkiewicz6Nowak3n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 9
S3Ruszkiewicz4Nowak5n = 9Nowak took 5 of 9
S4Ruszkiewicz5Nowak3n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 8
S5Ruszkiewicz2Nowak3n = 5Nowak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczNowakR − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match45.340.7+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 858 vs 670 / 173936.8%38.5%316 / 858 vs 670 / 1739Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.86/Nowak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 21 · 18:20A. Ruszkiewicz341211113J. Nowak2610790
WAug 4 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz4211911113J. Nowak33811771
WJul 11 · 03:05A. Ruszkiewicz3911611113J. Nowak28711731
LJul 10 · 21:05A. Ruszkiewicz511114101062J. Nowak536121212113
WJul 7 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz4211119113J. Nowak38991191
WJul 4 · 01:30A. Ruszkiewicz44116511113J. Nowak4691111782
WJul 3 · 19:30A. Ruszkiewicz50911127113J. Nowak49119101182
LJun 20 · 03:55A. Ruszkiewicz521211101182J. Nowak43143123113
LJun 13 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz541112121092J. Nowak503101412113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392WSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113LSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113LSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151LSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102WSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101WSep 11 · 20:05A. Ruszkiewicz2.50651111113L. Oracz1.5011118962WSep 11 · 18:30S. Krupa1.53761451A. Ruszkiewicz2.38111112113
J. Nowak10
LSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162LSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172LSep 11 · 08:45Y. Fomin1.601111113J. Nowak2.155480LSep 11 · 07:35J. Nowak1.70136661R. Komandzik2.00111111113WSep 11 · 06:25M. Lebek1.37111181082J. Nowak2.70691112113LSep 11 · 05:10M. Adamus1.6111118113J. Nowak2.08881181WSep 11 · 03:35R. Idaczyk1.80912731J. Nowak1.85111011113LSep 11 · 02:45M. Lebek1.421111133J. Nowak2.6086110WSep 11 · 01:35J. Nowak1.447131311113R. Komandzik2.50111115992LSep 11 · 24:25P. Brozek1.57871112113J. Nowak2.20111181072
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