TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126287
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189117111210211
Oskar Jadach
Away
2.07
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 71.0% is still 71.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
71.0%
71.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1189117111210211
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 2–17 Oskar Jadach Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 2 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jadach beat Ruszkiewicz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-17 in 19
Jadach
Correct
gap of 15 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1408 vs Jadach 1506
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 20% vs Jadach 100%
Jadach
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Jadach 90%
Jadach
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -1 · Jadach +5
Jadach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 29% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.68 / Jadach 2.07
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13126287
Ruszkiewicz1.68
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 39 of 53
Jadach2.07
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog45% won 82 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz1wins
AwayJadach9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz33.3%1 of 3
AwayJadach100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz3Jadach7n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz6Jadach4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz2Jadach8n = 10Jadach took 8 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz1Jadach7n = 8Jadach took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczJadachR − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.640.3−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 864 vs 801 / 131636.8%60.9%318 / 864 vs 801 / 1316Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.68/Jadach 2.07
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 21:30A. Ruszkiewicz1810260O. Jadach341211113
WAug 25 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz4111118113O. Jadach33881161
LJul 21 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz34871181O. Jadach4011117113
LJul 19 · 12:40A. Ruszkiewicz391213861O. Jadach47141111113
LJul 19 · 06:30A. Ruszkiewicz511111101092O. Jadach48491212113
LMay 31 · 14:45A. Ruszkiewicz2341090O. Jadach341112113
LMay 31 · 11:05A. Ruszkiewicz28119441O. Jadach4181111113
LMay 1 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz361112851O. Jadach45131011113
LMay 1 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz45121111652O. Jadach43142511113
LMar 31 · 24:20A. Ruszkiewicz31711851O. Jadach3811511113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113WSep 14 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.751111113M. Adamus1.987890LSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123LSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392WSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113LSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113LSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151
O. Jadach10
WSep 14 · 04:20M. Adamus2.30711771O. Jadach1.5511711113WSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940WSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260WSep 14 · 24:20G. Marud2.179137111O. Jadach1.56111111133WSep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33115911113J. Nowak2.8581111852WSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.601111113G. Marud2.105970LSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 17:30O. Jadach1.451171111113O. Vincenec2.4541113962WSep 11 · 13:55M. Baron2.381211111062O. Jadach1.53147912113
Upcoming Matches
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