TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125257
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.98
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117118119––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 16–18 Mariusz Adamus Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Adamus beat Ruszkiewicz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:09What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-18 in 34
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1404 vs Adamus 1444
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Adamus 90%
Adamus
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -3 · Adamus +2
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.75 / Adamus 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13125257
Ruszkiewicz1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 39 of 53
Adamus1.98
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 169 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back22% 45 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz7wins
AwayAdamus3wins
8 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayAdamus50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz6Adamus4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruszkiewicz6Adamus4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S5Ruszkiewicz5Adamus3n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczAdamusR − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match48.947.1+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 862 vs 796 / 163236.8%48.8%317 / 862 vs 796 / 1632Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.75/Adamus 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 22:20A. Ruszkiewicz42115115102M. Adamus49911611123
LSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz40511212102M. Adamus511171110123
WAug 4 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz46111112123M. Adamus4113810101
WAug 1 · 03:05A. Ruszkiewicz4011117113M. Adamus31841181
WJul 31 · 21:05A. Ruszkiewicz627151910113M. Adamus591113171262
LJul 21 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz54812118152M. Adamus561110711173
WJun 30 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz45117511113M. Adamus4171111662
WJun 2 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz551111912123M. Adamus539131110102
WMay 19 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz49118118113M. Adamus4571171192
WApr 29 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz5611111112113M. Adamus4561361462
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123LSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392WSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113LSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113LSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151LSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102WSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192
M. Adamus10
WSep 13 · 23:55M. Adamus1.8581111123J. Nowak1.801178101WSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102LSep 13 · 21:05M. Adamus2.056650G. Marud1.681111113WSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851WSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113WSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172WSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 06:45T. Lojtek2.209450M. Adamus1.601111113WSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113WSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172
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