TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107992
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111199111141517
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:04 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
6111199111141517
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 42–20 Kacper Adamus Kacper Adamus has won 20 of their 62 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Hetnar beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-20 in 62
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 22 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1468 vs Adamus 1448
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 80% vs Adamus 60%
Hetnar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 70% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar -1 · Adamus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.85 / Adamus 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13107992
Hetnar1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 42 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Adamus1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 367 of 599
Up 2–0, closes it98% 201 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it79% 292 of 369
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar5wins
AwayAdamus5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar100%5 of 5
AwayAdamus100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S2Hetnar6Adamus4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S3Hetnar7Adamus3n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S4Hetnar3Adamus3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarAdamusH − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.936.4+2.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime729 / 1184 vs 937 / 173361.6%54.1%729 / 1184 vs 937 / 1733Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.85/Adamus 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar—611911152K. Adamus—119114173
WSep 10 · 09:30K. Hetnar—11127113K. Adamus—9101191
LSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar—10101191K. Adamus—12129113
WSep 3 · 16:25K. Hetnar—1611113K. Adamus—14750
WJul 22 · 15:55K. Hetnar—1111113K. Adamus—5990
LJul 22 · 09:55K. Hetnar—51280K. Adamus—1114113
LJul 9 · 20:45K. Hetnar—851191K. Adamus—11114113
LJul 8 · 13:55K. Hetnar—101111972K. Adamus—126711113
WJul 8 · 07:55K. Hetnar—1112113K. Adamus—71070
WJun 30 · 13:10K. Hetnar—14811123K. Adamus—12113101
K. Hetnar10
LSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113LSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113WSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161WSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113WSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113WSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:10K. Hetnar1.49118831K. Jablonski2.4581111113WSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka2.45117761K. Hetnar1.4761111113LSep 8 · 08:00K. Hetnar1.804770R. Skotniczny1.911111113
K. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.6041080K. Adamus1.411112113WSep 10 · 14:45K. Adamus1.8291111113O. Jadach1.88117951WSep 10 · 13:10K. Adamus1.5013911113K. Jablonski2.311111761LSep 10 · 12:20J. Pelka2.36111212113K. Adamus1.487141041WSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790LSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113WSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050LSep 10 · 06:45K. Adamus1.52128111192W. Glanowski2.35141179113WSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111WSep 9 · 17:05M. Rus3.85510100K. Adamus1.191112123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.