Sebastian Szostok vs Jan Orszulik 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134893

Played Sep 15Finished

Sebastian Szostok

Home

1.90

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

3111513611118116

Jan Orszulik

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:48 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%

Graded at full time

Jan Orszulik to win

64.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

95 points played in total.

Set by set

3111513611118116

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:48

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Orszulik

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Szostok 1507 vs Orszulik 1420

Szostok

Correct

both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Szostok 40% vs Orszulik 80%

Orszulik

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Szostok 50% vs Orszulik 80%

Orszulik

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Szostok +1 · Orszulik +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Orszulik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzostok 1.90 / Orszulik 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Orszulik)+2.6pp

TT Elite Series · #13134893

Szostok1.90

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog46% won 68 of 148

Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 89

Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45

Orszulik1.80

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite58% won 41 of 71

Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzostokOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime921 / 1574 vs 117 / 24758.5%47.4%921 / 1574 vs 117 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.335.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Orszulik

Szostok 1.90/Orszulik 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Orszulik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Szostok won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

S. Szostok10