Jan Orszulik vs Pawel Polok 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129157

Played Sep 15Finished

Jan Orszulik

Home

2.60

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1210119118––––

Pawel Polok

Away

1.41

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Pawel Polok to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

61 points played in total.

Set by set

1210119118––––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:10

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.41 (65%)

Polok

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Orszulik 1380 vs Polok 1513

Polok

Wrong

both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Orszulik 80% vs Polok 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Orszulik 60% vs Polok 90%

Polok

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Orszulik +2 · Polok +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Orszulik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOrszulik 2.60 / Polok 1.41

Signal prob.32% / 68%

Edge (Polok)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13129157

Orszulik2.60

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog38% won 27 of 71

Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42

Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27

Polok1.41

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite67% won 76 of 114

Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43

Up 1–0, closes it84% 62 of 74

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricOrszulikPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 241 vs 114 / 17546.5%65.1%112 / 241 vs 114 / 175Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Polok

Orszulik 2.60/Polok 1.41

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

67.6%

Polok · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Orszulik won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Orszulik10