TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125294
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
3.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111191113511––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.21
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
8111191113511––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 2–2 Pawel Polok Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (75%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1224 vs Polok 1510
Polok
Correct
both rated, 286 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 40% vs Polok 100%
Polok
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 40% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -2 · Polok +5
Polok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 3.65 / Polok 1.21
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13125294
Sawicki3.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 127 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back18% 46 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 162
Polok1.21
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 67 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSawicki2wins
AwayPolok2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawickin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPolok50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki0Polok4n = 4Polok took 4 of 4
S2Sawicki3Polok1n = 4Sawicki took 3 of 4
S3Sawicki2Polok2n = 4split evenly
S4Sawicki2Polok2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSawickiPolokS − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match40.838.5+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 904 vs 109 / 16939.3%64.5%355 / 904 vs 109 / 169Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokSawicki 3.65/Polok 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.9%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 30 · 24:45G. Sawicki4281112113P. Polok301121071
WAug 29 · 22:20G. Sawicki47611811113P. Polok4011411772
LAug 9 · 11:30G. Sawicki389136101P. Polok45111111123
LAug 9 · 07:10G. Sawicki369101161P. Polok3911125113
G. Sawicki10
LSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:00G. Sawicki2.50811631S. Krupa1.4211911113WSep 13 · 16:25G. Sawicki1.49111110123R. Ogon2.346812101LSep 13 · 15:10G. Sawicki1.85591161R. Adach1.7911118113WSep 13 · 04:40A. Szurgot2.754990G. Sawicki1.371111113LSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik1.558118131G. Sawicki2.3011911153LSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza1.771691110113G. Sawicki1.87141161262LSep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski1.5281117113G. Sawicki2.271141561WSep 12 · 22:40A. Szurgot2.5581251162G. Sawicki1.451110118113
P. Polok10
WSep 13 · 21:35S. Krupa2.50419211162P. Polok1.471117119183WSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120WSep 13 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.9511870P. Polok1.751311113WSep 13 · 17:10S. Krupa2.505580P. Polok1.441111113WSep 13 · 15:35R. Ogon4.0091210P. Polok1.201114113WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151
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