TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116893
Played Sep 13Finished
Andrzej Szurgot
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911911––––
Grzegorz Sawicki
Away
1.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
411911911––––
H2H Andrzej Szurgot 0–2 Grzegorz Sawicki Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sawicki beat Szurgot 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Sawicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1076 vs Sawicki 1236
Sawicki
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 20% vs Sawicki 40%
Sawicki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 10% vs Sawicki 30%
Sawicki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -2 · Sawicki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 2.75 / Sawicki 1.37
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Sawicki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13116893
Szurgot2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog16% won 11 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Sawicki1.37
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 44 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzurgot0wins
AwaySawicki2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSawicki leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSzurgotSawickiSzurgot − SawickiBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.542.0−10.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime16 / 89 vs 359 / 90818%39.5%16 / 89 vs 359 / 908Avg sets wonper match1.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match30.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiSzurgot 2.75/Sawicki 1.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 12 · 22:40A. Szurgot4281251162G. Sawicki511110118113
LSep 4 · 21:45A. Szurgot216690G. Sawicki331111113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 13 · 03:05R. Szymik1.68511119113A. Szurgot2.0711951162LSep 13 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.2511811123A. Szurgot3.455117101WSep 13 · 01:30A. Szurgot4.2061114113K. Schaniel1.161161251LSep 13 · 24:20A. Szurgot3.005890R. Wiza1.301111113LSep 12 · 22:40A. Szurgot2.5581251162G. Sawicki1.451110118113LSep 12 · 21:05R. Szymik1.121111113A. Szurgot4.753380LSep 12 · 20:20R. Wiza1.331113113A. Szurgot2.9071170LSep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot4.20811441K. Schaniel1.1611611113LSep 12 · 18:20A. Szurgot8.00613941P. Gasiorski1.03111111113LSep 12 · 04:40J. Michalski1.601211113A. Szurgot2.1110580
G. Sawicki10
LSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik1.558118131G. Sawicki2.3011911153LSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza1.771691110113G. Sawicki1.87141161262LSep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski1.5281117113G. Sawicki2.271141561WSep 12 · 22:40A. Szurgot2.5581251162G. Sawicki1.451110118113LSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 19:55R. Szymik1.321211113G. Sawicki2.9510960LSep 12 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.091111113G. Sawicki5.455620LSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza1.80111211113G. Sawicki1.90314561WSep 12 · 07:45K. Juszczyk1.3371090G. Sawicki3.251112113
Upcoming Matches
A. Szurgot
Nothing scheduled
G. Sawicki
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