TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123428
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911118611––
Rafal Adach
Away
1.79
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:20 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
511911118611––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 17–9 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.79 (51%)
Adach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-9 in 26
Sawicki
Wrong
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1244 vs Adach 1237
Sawicki
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 40% vs Adach 20%
Sawicki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 30% vs Adach 50%
Adach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +1 · Adach -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.85 / Adach 1.79
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sawicki)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13123428
Sawicki1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 127 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back18% 46 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 162
Adach1.79
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 40 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it66% 33 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki7wins
AwayAdach3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSawicki leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki100%3 of 3
AwayAdach42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki3Adach7n = 10Adach took 7 of 10
S2Sawicki5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S3Sawicki4Adach6n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S4Sawicki6Adach3n = 9Sawicki took 6 of 9
S5Sawicki5Adach0n = 5Sawicki took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiAdachS − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.241.6+1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 901 vs 238 / 57639.4%41.3%355 / 901 vs 238 / 576Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiSawicki 1.85/Adach 1.79
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:25G. Sawicki521113611113R. Adach51131111792
WJun 27 · 23:30G. Sawicki507111011113R. Adach4011712732
WJun 27 · 19:10G. Sawicki4011711113R. Adach35811881
WMay 31 · 02:20G. Sawicki521111118113R. Adach4213751162
WMay 30 · 18:20G. Sawicki461131011113R. Adach4281112832
WMay 30 · 06:45G. Sawicki551015811113R. Adach50121311772
LMay 9 · 06:25G. Sawicki4110118121R. Adach4312611143
LApr 26 · 04:40G. Sawicki34981161R. Adach4011117113
LApr 25 · 22:40G. Sawicki2797110R. Adach351111133
WApr 20 · 02:00G. Sawicki3511112113R. Adach388111091
G. Sawicki10
WSep 13 · 04:40A. Szurgot2.754990G. Sawicki1.371111113LSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik1.558118131G. Sawicki2.3011911153LSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza1.771691110113G. Sawicki1.87141161262LSep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski1.5281117113G. Sawicki2.271141561WSep 12 · 22:40A. Szurgot2.5581251162G. Sawicki1.451110118113LSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 19:55R. Szymik1.321211113G. Sawicki2.9510960LSep 12 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.091111113G. Sawicki5.455620LSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza1.80111211113G. Sawicki1.90314561
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki
Sep 13 · 16:25G. Sawicki1.49R. Ogon2.34—Sep 13 · 18:00G. Sawicki2.50S. Krupa1.42—Sep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90K. Juszczyk1.33—Sep 13 · 20:45G. Sawicki3.65P. Polok1.21—Sep 13 · 22:00G. Sawicki1.46R. Ogon2.42—Sep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88R. Adach1.76—Sep 14 · 24:25G. Sawicki3.65P. Polok1.21—Sep 14 · 01:10G. Sawicki1.51I. Szymanski2.29—Sep 14 · 02:00G. Sawicki2.42S. Krupa1.45—
R. Adach
Sep 13 · 16:50R. Adach2.80K. Juszczyk1.35—Sep 13 · 17:35R. Adach1.46R. Ogon2.50—Sep 13 · 19:35R. Adach3.40P. Polok1.24—Sep 13 · 20:20R. Adach2.43S. Krupa1.45—Sep 13 · 21:10R. Adach1.49I. Szymanski2.34—Sep 13 · 22:50R. Adach1.76G. Sawicki1.88—Sep 13 · 23:35R. Adach2.43S. Krupa1.45—Sep 14 · 01:35R. Adach3.40P. Polok1.24—Sep 14 · 02:20R. Adach1.44R. Ogon2.47—
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