Rafal Ogon vs Pawel Polok 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123426

Played Sep 13Finished

Rafal Ogon

Home

4.00

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 6

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

9111214111––––

Pawel Polok

Away

1.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:20 and never touched — 76.5% is still 76.5%

Graded at full time

Pawel Polok to win

76.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

58 points played in total.

Set by set

9111214111––––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:20

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.20 (77%)

Polok

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Ogon 1095 vs Polok 1477

Polok

Correct

both rated, 382 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Ogon 0% vs Polok 60%

Polok

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Ogon 10% vs Polok 80%

Polok

Correct

70pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Ogon -5 · Polok +1

Ogon

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Polok form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOgon 4.00 / Polok 1.20

Signal prob.20% / 80%

Edge (Polok)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13123426

Ogon4.00

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog27% won 40 of 151

Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 103

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 68

Polok1.20

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite64% won 67 of 104

Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37

Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricOgonPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 453 vs 105 / 16525.6%63.6%116 / 453 vs 105 / 165Avg sets wonper match1.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.837.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Polok

Ogon 4.00/Polok 1.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

79.7%

Polok · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Polok won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Ogon10