Rafal Adach vs Jan Orszulik 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133348

Played Sep 15Finished

Rafal Adach

Home

2.50

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

4117111012––––

Jan Orszulik

Away

1.50

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:27 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%

Graded at full time

Jan Orszulik to win

66.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

55 points played in total.

Set by set

4117111012––––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:27

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Orszulik

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Adach 1214 vs Orszulik 1400

Orszulik

Correct

both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Adach 0% vs Orszulik 80%

Orszulik

Correct

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Adach 30% vs Orszulik 70%

Orszulik

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Adach -5 · Orszulik +3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Orszulik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsAdach 2.50 / Orszulik 1.50

Signal prob.38% / 63%

Edge (Orszulik)+0.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13133348

Adach2.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog33% won 82 of 248

Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 146

Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90

Orszulik1.50

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite58% won 41 of 71

Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricAdachOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 577 vs 113 / 24241.1%46.7%237 / 577 vs 113 / 242Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Orszulik

Adach 2.50/Orszulik 1.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.5%

Orszulik · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Orszulik won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Adach10