TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125297
Played Sep 13Finished
Sebastian Krupa
Home
1.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112112115––––
Rafal Adach
Away
2.43
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched — 66.6% is still 66.6%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
66.6%
66.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
42 points played in total.
Set by set
112112115––––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 5–2 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Krupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Krupa
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1333 vs Adach 1273
Krupa
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 20% vs Adach 60%
Adach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 30% vs Adach 50%
Adach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa -1 · Adach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Krupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 1.45 / Adach 2.43
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Krupa)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13125297
Krupa1.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 109 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Adach2.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 81 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrupa5wins
AwayAdach2wins
Krupa leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa100%4 of 4
AwayAdach66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa4Adach3n = 7Krupa took 4 of 7
S2Krupa5Adach2n = 7Krupa took 5 of 7
S3Krupa5Adach2n = 7Krupa took 5 of 7
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKrupaAdachK − ABasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match32.026.9+5.1per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 600 vs 240 / 57849.8%41.5%299 / 600 vs 240 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.834.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaKrupa 1.45/Adach 2.43
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.6%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 6 · 15:10S. Krupa341111123R. Adach2376100
WSep 2 · 18:00S. Krupa351113113R. Adach1861110
LAug 10 · 02:45S. Krupa258980R. Adach331111113
LAug 9 · 18:25S. Krupa154470R. Adach331111113
WMay 24 · 23:10S. Krupa331111113R. Adach165470
WMay 24 · 17:10S. Krupa47101313113R. Adach4012111161
WFeb 7 · 05:00S. Krupa351111133R. Adach2559110
S. Krupa10
LSep 13 · 18:45R. Ogon3.20114812113S. Krupa1.27911111092WSep 13 · 18:00G. Sawicki2.50811631S. Krupa1.4211911113LSep 13 · 17:10S. Krupa2.505580P. Polok1.441111113LSep 13 · 16:00S. Krupa2.10911881K. Juszczyk1.6511711113LSep 12 · 01:45S. Krupa1.91781151K. Schaniel1.8011119113WSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151LSep 11 · 23:20S. Krupa2.208760L. Oracz1.611111113WSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123LSep 11 · 21:20S. Krupa2.10118160O. Vincenec1.671311183LSep 11 · 19:40S. Krupa1.67121031362O. Sokolowski2.1010121111113
R. Adach10
LSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120WSep 13 · 17:35R. Ogon2.501161031R. Adach1.4691112113WSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113WSep 13 · 15:10G. Sawicki1.85591161R. Adach1.7911118113LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113
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