TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129090
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111210511118611
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:51 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
6111210511118611
H2H Rafal Adach 23–23 Krzysztof Juszczyk Dead even across their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-23 in 46
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1225 vs Juszczyk 1436
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 211 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 20% vs Juszczyk 60%
Juszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 40% vs Juszczyk 60%
Juszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -4 · Juszczyk +2
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 2.75 / Juszczyk 1.35
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Juszczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13129090
Adach2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 82 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Juszczyk1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 196 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it95% 113 of 119
Up 1–0, closes it80% 157 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdach4wins
AwayJuszczyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJuszczyk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach2Juszczyk8n = 10Juszczyk took 8 of 10
S2Adach4Juszczyk6n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S3Adach5Juszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Adach3Juszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Adach2Juszczyk1n = 3Adach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdachJuszczykA − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.038.0−3.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 578 vs 654 / 121741.2%53.7%238 / 578 vs 654 / 1217Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykAdach 2.75/Juszczyk 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.9%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 16:50R. Adach391117113K. Juszczyk2871560
LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach27441181K. Juszczyk3911116113
LSep 2 · 15:10R. Adach229850K. Juszczyk331111113
WJul 12 · 02:20R. Adach4011611123K. Juszczyk379117101
LJul 11 · 18:20R. Adach35811881K. Juszczyk3811511113
LJul 11 · 05:10R. Adach257990K. Juszczyk331111113
LMay 30 · 04:00R. Adach219480K. Juszczyk331111113
WMay 10 · 01:30R. Adach46511116133K. Juszczyk47117711112
WMay 9 · 19:30R. Adach46651113113K. Juszczyk41111161122
LMay 9 · 07:35R. Adach49811101192K. Juszczyk51118129113
R. Adach10
LSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123LSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940LSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832LSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982WSep 13 · 21:10I. Szymanski2.107680R. Adach1.651111113LSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250LSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120WSep 13 · 17:35R. Ogon2.501161031R. Adach1.4691112113WSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.9511870P. Polok1.751311113LSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113WSep 13 · 16:00S. Krupa2.10911881K. Juszczyk1.6511711113LSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 07:35I. Szymanski3.856780K. Juszczyk1.191111113WSep 13 · 05:35T. Lojtek2.855670K. Juszczyk1.351111113LSep 13 · 04:50P. Zemla1.6181211123K. Juszczyk2.0911107101WSep 13 · 03:10W. Pytlas1.858660K. Juszczyk1.801111113
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